Description of algorithm
Full domain
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2021-08-26

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2021-08-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 119749 18594 168 708 68 0 0 0
OW 0 1423 178 1215 166 7 0 0
VODI 0 305 119 4457 1789 23 0 0
ODI 0 46 9 683 5306 1035 0 0
CDI 0 11 2 5 2497 10710 6244 834
VCDI 0 16 4 78 169 2581 7594 255
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-08-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 120832 17970 148 651 103 0 0 0
OW 7 1522 166 1237 221 2 0 0
VODI 5 538 126 4541 1878 18 0 0
ODI 0 60 9 737 4458 950 2 0
CDI 0 19 1 43 2761 13770 4512 69
VCDI 0 5 2 68 128 2897 6159 433
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-08-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 121876 17890 145 637 66 0 0 0
OW 13 1325 188 1124 111 4 0 0
VODI 0 577 151 5224 1077 4 0 0
ODI 0 52 3 508 6406 518 0 0
CDI 0 7 2 54 4124 14343 965 0
VCDI 0 0 0 43 186 3121 5872 432
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-08-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 123049 16973 146 595 49 0 0 0
OW 19 1623 164 1261 146 0 0 0
VODI 0 766 171 4801 1195 6 0 0
ODI 0 61 0 672 5257 842 13 0
CDI 0 12 0 60 6601 11266 1197 0
VCDI 0 23 7 80 345 3425 4809 1414
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 123060 17102 172 795 55 0 0 0
OW 8 1324 141 1132 146 0 0 0
VODI 0 951 168 4466 1024 23 0 0
ODI 0 48 0 938 5320 761 8 0
CDI 0 8 0 57 6629 11292 1194 0
VCDI 0 25 7 81 419 3463 4817 1414

Date: 2021-08-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 122981 17047 139 553 48 20 0 0
OW 17 2039 169 1348 150 8 0 0
VODI 0 1021 166 4243 1101 32 0 0
ODI 0 64 2 917 4692 960 28 0
CDI 0 12 4 104 6135 10662 2251 2
VCDI 0 1 4 38 400 3984 5496 210
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 122986 17383 172 748 49 21 0 0
OW 10 1520 124 1047 170 4 0 0
VODI 2 1220 180 4136 943 49 0 0
ODI 0 49 0 1129 4705 828 26 0
CDI 0 11 4 104 6061 9914 2185 0
VCDI 0 1 4 39 598 4850 5564 212

Date: 2021-08-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 124552 16298 169 471 41 14 0 0
OW 6 2292 196 1032 65 4 0 0
VODI 0 454 139 5015 837 9 0 0
ODI 0 7 1 492 7591 359 0 0
CDI 0 17 5 137 4015 15516 595 0
VCDI 0 0 0 1 20 1360 5254 84
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 124538 15797 200 714 74 15 0 0
OW 18 1712 113 1103 157 9 0 0
VODI 2 1486 183 3733 1033 58 0 0
ODI 0 56 9 1333 4102 542 55 0
CDI 0 0 2 220 5974 9930 1161 0
VCDI 0 17 3 45 1229 6708 4633 84

Date: 2021-09-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 123640 17455 155 591 32 1 0 0
OW 0 2102 226 1761 83 1 0 0
VODI 0 345 84 4092 1211 5 0 0
ODI 0 6 3 596 6220 341 0 0
CDI 0 17 4 166 5534 13886 641 0
VCDI 0 0 0 5 9 3901 3924 11
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 123628 16576 197 979 78 2 0 0
OW 10 1766 117 1222 178 1 0 0
VODI 2 1438 142 3441 1154 47 0 0
ODI 0 128 12 1225 3513 383 40 0
CDI 0 1 0 278 6089 9011 788 0
VCDI 0 16 4 66 2077 8691 3737 11

Date: 2021-09-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 124813 16015 130 569 38 6 0 0
OW 0 2332 224 1766 227 27 0 0
VODI 0 387 112 3357 1708 51 0 0
ODI 0 24 4 599 4383 680 0 0
CDI 0 21 9 154 3620 15067 693 0
VCDI 0 1 1 3 29 5153 4748 97
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 124805 14934 164 1043 187 17 0 0
OW 7 1959 95 817 446 37 0 0
VODI 1 1649 189 2790 1329 242 0 0
ODI 0 213 18 1422 2566 637 53 0
CDI 0 3 6 293 4551 9055 906 0
VCDI 0 22 8 83 926 10996 4482 97


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