Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2021-08-19

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2021-08-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 10180 8306 81 216 15 0 0 0
OW 65 584 104 1040 110 0 0 0
VODI 0 87 37 1131 853 7 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 66 1312 707 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 99 4373 2125 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 272 312 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-08-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 10395 8320 63 232 12 0 0 0
OW 30 1028 100 690 96 0 0 0
VODI 0 267 79 1079 572 1 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 197 1362 584 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 195 2839 3354 53
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 86 448 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-08-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 10509 9012 58 236 15 0 0 0
OW 0 963 117 546 53 0 0 0
VODI 0 60 47 1167 332 3 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 86 1680 69 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 328 2571 1393 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 678 2159 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-08-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 11193 8746 52 161 21 0 0 0
OW 0 912 101 490 62 1 0 0
VODI 0 112 54 1076 329 5 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 151 1354 107 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 302 3206 1143 6
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1080 1418 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 11193 8865 57 231 8 0 0 0
OW 0 759 100 466 93 0 0 0
VODI 0 145 48 1000 336 9 0 0
ODI 0 1 2 181 1152 79 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 479 3039 1295 6
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1272 1266 0

Date: 2021-08-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 11886 8241 51 106 23 0 0 0
OW 0 878 100 482 100 2 0 0
VODI 0 102 45 912 360 13 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 111 1149 208 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 395 2990 1408 67
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 699 1541 213
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 11886 8384 60 180 19 0 0 0
OW 0 725 89 441 133 1 0 0
VODI 0 108 46 855 347 13 0 0
ODI 0 4 1 135 975 168 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 552 2975 1454 179
VCDI 0 0 0 0 1 755 1495 101

Date: 2021-08-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 11809 8771 44 95 17 0 0 0
OW 0 582 109 464 46 0 0 0
VODI 0 42 23 992 227 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 42 1504 52 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 285 5698 135 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 836 309 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 11809 8504 57 169 39 0 0 0
OW 0 735 65 491 104 0 0 0
VODI 0 156 54 763 360 1 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 161 929 101 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 9 642 4938 146 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 5 1546 298 0

Date: 2021-08-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12130 8515 50 130 22 0 0 0
OW 1 521 96 491 68 0 0 0
VODI 0 108 33 735 282 6 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 48 1208 183 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 2 1127 5232 33 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 108 891 62 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12117 8114 52 223 79 0 0 0
OW 14 717 67 396 91 0 0 0
VODI 0 312 60 598 353 25 0 0
ODI 0 1 0 171 754 211 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 18 1202 4465 32 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 336 1611 62 0

Date: 2021-08-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12807 7700 54 157 17 0 0 0
OW 0 627 76 520 76 0 0 0
VODI 0 67 20 588 411 4 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 53 1025 250 22 0
CDI 0 0 0 20 1784 4040 466 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 111 1165 22 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12779 7322 70 296 72 0 0 0
OW 28 736 37 355 109 0 0 0
VODI 0 333 38 471 415 59 0 0
ODI 0 3 5 188 714 172 43 0
CDI 0 0 0 28 1637 3458 387 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 477 1770 80 0


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