Description of algorithm
Full domain
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2021-08-19

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2021-08-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 118778 17234 198 628 114 0 0 0
OW 65 992 176 1704 259 0 0 0
VODI 0 232 71 2275 2400 24 0 0
ODI 0 61 9 467 7645 2546 0 0
CDI 0 24 2 44 1353 16393 4911 0
VCDI 0 41 8 96 184 4157 3732 225
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-08-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 119347 17247 181 694 30 0 0 0
OW 30 1462 163 1461 183 0 0 0
VODI 0 467 131 2674 2206 46 0 0
ODI 0 60 9 1057 6781 2043 261 0
CDI 0 16 4 60 2507 12110 7710 586
VCDI 0 58 13 92 176 759 4278 2146
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-08-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 119003 18621 169 811 45 0 0 0
OW 0 1417 191 1153 102 2 0 0
VODI 0 212 104 3645 1644 16 0 0
ODI 0 37 6 543 7510 581 25 0
CDI 0 6 2 30 2348 10456 5024 0
VCDI 0 42 5 50 103 3441 9496 208
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-08-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 118794 19265 166 767 50 0 0 0
OW 0 1486 176 1117 150 5 0 0
VODI 0 291 115 4131 1792 21 0 0
ODI 0 34 7 653 6061 884 3 0
CDI 0 7 3 12 2684 11425 5525 65
VCDI 0 18 3 84 192 3813 7238 11
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 118794 19461 176 926 50 0 0 0
OW 0 1265 171 1047 172 3 0 0
VODI 0 315 108 3778 1602 24 0 0
ODI 0 36 9 916 5997 915 0 0
CDI 0 6 3 11 2898 10785 5237 62
VCDI 0 18 3 86 210 4421 7529 14

Date: 2021-08-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 121397 17158 180 690 88 0 0 0
OW 0 1488 170 1180 237 9 0 0
VODI 0 424 131 4465 1869 93 0 0
ODI 0 48 6 631 4561 1116 161 0
CDI 0 18 1 23 2649 10557 5809 1561
VCDI 0 13 3 72 175 1396 6083 2586
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 121397 17319 200 895 98 0 0 0
OW 0 1336 147 1076 258 11 0 0
VODI 0 405 130 4032 1803 112 0 0
ODI 0 68 11 959 4380 1023 154 0
CDI 0 8 0 28 2848 10546 5626 1619
VCDI 0 13 3 71 192 1479 6273 2528

Date: 2021-08-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 120853 18652 149 570 39 0 0 0
OW 19 1363 180 1003 103 0 0 0
VODI 0 433 134 5439 1076 2 0 0
ODI 0 44 3 375 7200 363 0 0
CDI 0 6 1 21 1900 16610 476 0
VCDI 0 1 0 49 110 4667 5119 88
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 120863 18157 177 900 96 0 0 0
OW 9 1486 123 1129 225 0 0 0
VODI 0 769 156 4283 1668 32 0 0
ODI 0 69 10 994 4048 492 0 0
CDI 0 12 0 92 4210 14181 3784 88
VCDI 0 6 1 59 181 6937 1811 0

Date: 2021-08-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 121813 18048 148 646 74 0 0 0
OW 26 1439 172 1150 168 0 0 0
VODI 0 694 169 4863 1270 9 0 0
ODI 0 54 2 614 5622 761 68 0
CDI 0 4 0 80 5190 12992 1173 3
VCDI 0 22 5 44 228 2707 5217 1573
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 121809 17344 151 974 172 0 0 0
OW 19 1569 135 1066 255 3 0 0
VODI 11 1215 192 3939 1455 129 29 0
ODI 0 89 13 1159 3105 602 119 0
CDI 0 21 0 191 6887 11085 4033 1042
VCDI 0 23 5 68 678 4650 2277 534

Date: 2021-08-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 123558 16511 144 575 41 11 0 0
OW 14 1868 165 1306 114 8 0 0
VODI 0 833 164 4635 1083 15 0 0
ODI 0 62 3 712 5264 698 22 0
CDI 0 15 1 85 6314 11086 2069 0
VCDI 0 8 3 70 257 3552 4535 1247
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 123544 15745 166 1011 94 13 0 0
OW 28 1886 97 1175 195 4 0 0
VODI 0 1500 191 3673 1343 73 0 0
ODI 0 130 22 1256 2897 406 43 0
CDI 0 13 2 196 7553 9923 4273 656
VCDI 0 23 2 72 991 4951 2310 591


Generated by /metno/routine/sms/V2/xSIvalidation/xSIwebPage.sh Fri 03 Sep 2021 02:53:35 AM UTC on arcval

 
See Met Privacy