Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2021-08-12

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2021-08-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 95548 4273 14 42 0 0 0 0
OW 0 162 28 157 14 0 0 0
VODI 0 44 17 373 141 0 0 0
ODI 0 2 4 182 1139 106 0 0
CDI 0 4 0 62 564 4940 698 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 129 457 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-08-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 96663 3306 9 44 0 0 0 0
OW 0 218 33 171 13 0 0 0
VODI 0 52 21 418 133 0 0 0
ODI 0 24 6 223 1196 30 0 0
CDI 0 10 2 92 1012 4806 200 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 232 186 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-08-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 96685 3640 31 75 0 0 0 0
OW 0 109 27 225 7 0 0 0
VODI 0 32 16 429 241 0 0 0
ODI 0 30 3 184 1865 355 0 0
CDI 0 13 3 25 454 4263 266 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 89 33 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-08-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 96701 3674 25 74 2 0 0 0
OW 0 145 23 188 29 0 0 0
VODI 0 61 18 377 341 5 0 0
ODI 0 33 5 140 1116 1177 0 0
CDI 0 8 1 36 387 3674 809 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 13 38 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 96701 3680 26 90 0 0 0 0
OW 0 128 20 178 30 0 0 0
VODI 0 71 20 366 385 2 0 0
ODI 0 36 5 147 1074 1308 0 0
CDI 0 6 1 34 386 3552 792 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 7 55 0

Date: 2021-08-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 97243 3111 23 56 0 0 0 0
OW 0 192 25 160 14 0 0 0
VODI 0 114 27 489 277 19 0 0
ODI 0 42 9 266 909 1284 0 0
CDI 0 8 2 33 363 3054 1354 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1 25 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 97243 3117 25 71 0 0 0 0
OW 0 169 21 156 13 0 0 0
VODI 0 131 29 455 306 29 0 0
ODI 0 47 9 297 885 1302 0 0
CDI 0 3 2 25 359 3027 1316 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 63 0

Date: 2021-08-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 97738 2688 18 72 0 0 0 0
OW 0 240 26 119 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 84 37 706 153 0 0 0
ODI 0 31 5 216 1022 139 0 0
CDI 0 7 1 5 281 2734 863 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 198 1717 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 97738 2635 19 119 4 0 0 0
OW 0 183 21 120 39 0 0 0
VODI 0 167 34 482 312 87 0 0
ODI 0 54 11 359 708 885 344 0
CDI 0 11 2 38 393 2063 2236 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 36 0 0

Date: 2021-08-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 96648 3733 23 99 0 0 0 0
OW 0 235 16 154 2 0 0 0
VODI 0 121 44 613 207 0 0 0
ODI 0 26 3 225 877 183 0 0
CDI 0 5 3 3 235 2124 1778 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 57 1450 236
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 96648 3667 26 161 12 0 0 0
OW 0 163 14 140 46 1 0 0
VODI 0 227 31 431 326 137 0 0
ODI 0 57 16 327 623 903 254 0
CDI 0 6 2 35 314 1318 2963 236
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 5 11 0

Date: 2021-08-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 96580 3805 27 126 4 0 0 0
OW 0 245 22 163 15 0 0 0
VODI 0 135 39 582 268 0 0 0
ODI 0 39 8 214 732 209 0 0
CDI 0 11 2 1 360 2323 1465 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 237 1488 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 96580 3721 27 184 26 0 0 0
OW 0 178 12 140 65 1 0 0
VODI 0 249 36 424 288 165 0 0
ODI 0 67 19 274 555 741 453 0
CDI 0 20 4 64 445 1862 2500 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0


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