Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2021-08-05

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2021-07-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 95270 4079 33 124 1 0 0 0
OW 8 218 28 153 3 0 0 0
VODI 0 72 29 339 170 1 0 0
ODI 0 1 2 103 777 731 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 51 818 4763 1001 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 2 323 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-08-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 94941 4500 28 99 2 0 0 0
OW 1 214 27 172 20 0 0 0
VODI 0 69 20 288 228 3 0 0
ODI 0 2 1 105 853 587 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 54 581 5257 788 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 14 244 2
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-08-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 94351 5282 26 70 0 0 0 0
OW 0 150 42 141 2 0 0 0
VODI 0 9 9 331 172 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 89 1070 178 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 36 379 5243 967 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 45 508 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-08-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 95460 4320 16 32 1 0 0 0
OW 0 149 31 143 29 0 0 0
VODI 0 34 10 285 220 0 0 0
ODI 0 3 2 103 1044 247 0 0
CDI 0 1 0 19 494 5171 818 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 54 414 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 95460 4311 20 45 0 0 0 0
OW 0 146 25 129 22 0 0 0
VODI 0 47 12 272 212 1 0 0
ODI 0 3 2 121 1074 245 2 0
CDI 0 0 0 15 480 5158 833 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 68 397 0

Date: 2021-08-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 96311 3583 12 39 0 0 0 0
OW 0 183 31 176 6 0 0 0
VODI 0 54 19 415 113 0 0 0
ODI 0 9 0 238 1067 116 0 0
CDI 0 4 4 72 810 5139 194 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 406 99 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 96311 3569 17 41 0 0 0 0
OW 0 180 27 153 1 0 0 0
VODI 0 69 16 406 132 0 0 0
ODI 0 13 4 271 1062 78 0 0
CDI 0 2 2 69 801 5177 224 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 406 69 0

Date: 2021-08-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 96665 3608 22 39 0 0 0 0
OW 0 111 27 226 1 0 0 0
VODI 0 23 17 492 145 0 0 0
ODI 0 33 4 161 2144 116 0 0
CDI 0 12 2 20 804 3850 378 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 15 185 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 96665 3390 10 45 0 0 0 0
OW 0 233 21 153 10 0 0 0
VODI 0 92 26 407 137 0 0 0
ODI 0 56 12 239 1158 10 0 0
CDI 0 16 3 94 1789 3956 425 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 15 138 0

Date: 2021-08-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 96654 3689 31 105 0 0 0 0
OW 0 106 30 196 39 0 0 0
VODI 0 42 11 386 324 8 0 0
ODI 0 28 5 162 1180 1065 18 0
CDI 0 5 3 39 282 3912 707 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 29 44 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 96654 3530 16 60 0 0 0 0
OW 0 210 24 182 54 0 0 0
VODI 0 66 23 328 302 4 0 0
ODI 0 58 13 202 829 290 30 0
CDI 0 6 4 116 640 4709 723 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 11 16 0

Date: 2021-08-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 97078 3279 21 64 0 0 0 0
OW 0 170 28 173 18 0 0 0
VODI 0 105 20 435 280 6 0 0
ODI 0 44 9 272 975 1210 0 0
CDI 0 8 1 32 340 3551 932 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 10 39 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 97078 3143 11 40 1 0 0 0
OW 0 284 27 168 21 0 0 0
VODI 0 102 27 405 285 15 0 0
ODI 0 74 13 256 714 320 0 0
CDI 0 3 1 107 592 4441 971 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0


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