Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2021-08-05

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2021-07-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 7077 7921 70 269 2 0 0 0
OW 1 622 120 718 60 7 0 0
VODI 0 68 39 1405 1160 84 7 0
ODI 0 5 2 232 2478 1031 53 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 274 3997 2362 1
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 483 1534 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-08-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 7403 7774 65 309 0 0 0 0
OW 1 692 102 841 53 1 0 0
VODI 0 94 53 1726 1363 26 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 202 2362 1049 2 0
CDI 0 0 0 1 130 2852 2888 117
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 347 1627 2
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-08-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 7862 8328 94 351 0 0 0 0
OW 1 456 114 797 62 0 0 0
VODI 0 36 17 1786 1288 9 1 0
ODI 0 1 3 77 2265 442 12 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 286 3950 977 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 374 2466 27
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-08-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 7966 8438 97 422 4 0 0 0
OW 0 603 113 930 63 0 0 0
VODI 0 35 30 2134 1072 2 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 103 1685 618 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 347 3788 1492 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 915 1225 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 7966 8506 105 563 21 0 0 0
OW 0 518 105 928 116 0 0 0
VODI 0 52 30 1958 1007 2 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 140 1738 540 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 289 3760 1450 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1021 1267 0

Date: 2021-08-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 8167 8695 96 454 12 0 0 0
OW 0 741 104 1122 152 0 0 0
VODI 0 141 54 1645 1198 31 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 136 1190 910 30 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 708 3041 1700 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 43 1671 41 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 8167 8701 109 647 76 0 0 0
OW 0 700 78 945 243 1 0 0
VODI 0 176 65 1590 954 67 0 0
ODI 0 0 2 175 1317 784 20 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 676 3115 1674 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 37 1686 77 0

Date: 2021-08-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 7844 9796 77 311 4 0 0 0
OW 0 571 129 834 28 0 0 0
VODI 0 90 48 1986 435 0 0 0
ODI 0 1 1 76 2219 82 2 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 310 5120 855 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 654 609 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 7844 9508 110 618 89 0 0 0
OW 0 770 86 1026 276 3 0 0
VODI 0 180 54 1412 990 35 0 0
ODI 0 0 5 151 1095 842 4 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 543 3899 1065 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 3 1077 397 0

Date: 2021-08-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 8889 9027 107 374 48 0 0 0
OW 0 505 94 1067 128 0 0 0
VODI 0 42 31 1391 842 12 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 35 1558 537 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 95 4571 1953 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 259 517 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 8889 8658 96 603 270 3 0 0
OW 0 748 94 1039 331 18 0 0
VODI 0 168 38 1107 1040 102 0 0
ODI 0 0 4 118 890 947 18 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 140 3675 1861 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 634 591 0

Date: 2021-08-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 10180 8306 81 216 15 0 0 0
OW 65 584 104 1040 110 0 0 0
VODI 0 87 37 1131 853 7 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 66 1312 707 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 99 4373 2125 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 272 312 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 10047 7830 103 656 271 5 0 0
OW 171 848 72 769 250 35 0 0
VODI 27 283 42 924 920 107 0 0
ODI 0 16 5 104 861 1019 22 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 87 3784 1923 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 409 492 0


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