Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2021-07-29

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2021-07-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 90766 7963 58 285 4 0 0 0
OW 0 222 37 270 15 0 0 0
VODI 0 43 14 556 114 2 0 0
ODI 0 5 1 119 961 117 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 21 1155 4839 10 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1493 30 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-07-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 92250 6708 44 195 0 0 0 0
OW 0 237 33 251 15 0 0 0
VODI 0 43 15 442 206 8 0 0
ODI 0 9 2 106 954 145 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 21 1017 4767 252 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 962 418 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-07-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 94208 5074 32 139 0 0 0 0
OW 0 148 40 193 3 0 0 0
VODI 0 32 10 458 126 0 0 0
ODI 0 1 0 79 1379 76 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 8 804 4761 731 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 326 472 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-07-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 95691 3651 29 130 5 0 0 0
OW 11 206 34 135 11 0 0 0
VODI 0 50 18 364 178 4 0 0
ODI 0 0 1 82 764 724 0 0
CDI 0 0 1 27 472 4870 1331 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 46 265 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 95702 3649 31 121 5 0 0 0
OW 0 179 33 138 10 0 0 0
VODI 0 77 17 351 175 0 0 0
ODI 0 2 1 98 758 857 0 0
CDI 0 0 1 30 482 4722 1254 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 65 342 0

Date: 2021-07-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 95630 3770 31 108 2 0 0 0
OW 3 220 33 158 10 0 0 0
VODI 0 67 20 335 186 2 0 0
ODI 0 5 3 103 901 628 5 0
CDI 0 0 0 54 632 4101 1773 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 88 232 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 95633 3761 35 115 1 0 0 0
OW 0 197 27 139 10 0 0 0
VODI 0 95 22 333 168 1 0 0
ODI 0 9 3 108 944 658 13 0
CDI 0 0 0 63 608 4072 1693 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 88 304 0

Date: 2021-08-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 94341 5219 30 83 0 0 0 0
OW 0 172 39 116 1 0 0 0
VODI 0 6 8 389 139 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 66 1164 72 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 26 377 5105 1107 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 8 619 13
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 94341 5101 33 91 0 0 0 0
OW 0 186 22 144 15 0 0 0
VODI 0 104 20 271 212 23 0 0
ODI 0 6 2 116 899 693 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 58 555 4469 1680 6
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 46 7

Date: 2021-08-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 94947 4767 30 49 0 0 0 0
OW 0 148 33 153 4 0 0 0
VODI 0 27 9 352 158 0 0 0
ODI 0 5 2 108 1084 167 0 0
CDI 0 0 1 40 458 4922 1148 29
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 33 424 2
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 94947 4600 34 80 0 0 0 0
OW 0 204 17 138 30 0 0 0
VODI 0 114 17 241 214 44 0 0
ODI 0 26 5 166 887 638 0 0
CDI 0 3 2 77 573 4440 1572 31
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Date: 2021-08-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 95548 4273 14 42 0 0 0 0
OW 0 162 28 157 14 0 0 0
VODI 0 44 17 373 141 0 0 0
ODI 0 2 4 182 1139 106 0 0
CDI 0 4 0 62 564 4940 698 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 129 457 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 95548 4147 16 68 1 0 0 0
OW 0 212 18 139 30 0 0 0
VODI 0 107 18 295 244 45 0 0
ODI 0 15 10 227 1056 432 0 0
CDI 0 4 1 87 527 4698 1155 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0


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