Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2021-07-29

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2021-07-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 5364 8187 57 203 0 0 0 0
OW 0 704 104 775 33 0 0 0
VODI 0 89 43 1007 1033 5 0 0
ODI 0 4 4 153 2886 1404 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 2 713 6917 866 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 1 1489 39 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-07-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 6308 7486 59 272 0 0 0 0
OW 2 802 83 760 78 1 0 0
VODI 0 197 63 842 1278 18 0 0
ODI 0 17 8 258 2623 1910 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 9 686 4968 2177 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 17 765 395 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-07-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 6608 7986 66 245 0 0 0 0
OW 1 482 126 673 21 3 0 0
VODI 0 24 27 1418 655 20 0 0
ODI 0 0 2 142 3145 567 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 4 310 4937 2125 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 2 706 1774 13
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-07-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 6927 7968 75 245 1 0 0 0
OW 1 533 127 758 24 6 0 0
VODI 0 30 28 1680 807 28 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 101 2780 907 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 152 4207 2501 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 255 1914 27
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 6927 8076 93 396 2 0 0 0
OW 1 408 103 648 52 5 0 0
VODI 0 46 33 1596 762 31 0 0
ODI 0 1 1 144 2660 698 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 288 4425 2570 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 244 1845 27

Date: 2021-07-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 7079 8000 76 257 4 0 0 0
OW 1 692 119 712 84 6 0 0
VODI 0 64 36 1429 1411 39 0 0
ODI 0 0 1 144 2580 1016 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 149 3450 2490 232
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 515 1394 102
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 7079 8131 91 449 38 0 0 0
OW 1 536 91 621 143 3 0 0
VODI 0 88 49 1297 1203 92 0 0
ODI 0 1 1 175 2450 784 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 394 3619 2581 299
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 528 1303 35

Date: 2021-08-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 7653 8257 77 277 0 0 0 0
OW 1 472 135 742 9 0 0 0
VODI 0 24 13 2121 845 5 0 0
ODI 0 7 2 101 2708 275 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 81 3882 1251 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 360 2414 370
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 7653 7898 85 563 27 0 0 0
OW 1 609 74 697 226 5 0 0
VODI 0 251 59 1544 1144 129 0 0
ODI 0 2 9 421 1745 787 51 0
CDI 0 0 0 16 501 3119 2941 166
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 482 673 204

Date: 2021-08-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 7972 8286 94 418 0 0 0 0
OW 1 532 106 846 61 0 0 0
VODI 0 50 17 2004 1161 6 0 0
ODI 0 0 2 65 2005 491 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 243 4827 401 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 602 1887 5
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 7972 7886 98 835 56 0 0 0
OW 1 597 54 837 267 0 0 0
VODI 0 363 46 1168 1271 120 0 0
ODI 0 22 21 486 1341 946 22 0
CDI 0 0 0 7 534 4524 2166 5
VCDI 0 0 0 0 1 336 100 0

Date: 2021-08-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 8082 8526 102 437 15 0 0 0
OW 0 738 115 979 79 0 0 0
VODI 0 100 48 2009 1033 15 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 115 1407 791 37 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 322 3326 1879 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1656 271 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 8081 7895 104 857 98 0 0 0
OW 1 735 62 773 185 0 0 0
VODI 0 585 63 1298 998 140 0 0
ODI 0 149 33 568 883 1065 258 0
CDI 0 0 3 44 692 4391 1826 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 192 103 0


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