Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2021-07-22

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2021-07-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 91479 6407 51 123 1 0 0 0
OW 0 211 57 603 13 0 0 0
VODI 0 39 18 820 227 2 0 0
ODI 0 2 0 153 649 68 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 51 1353 4064 150 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 2315 244 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-07-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 91659 6446 48 176 2 0 0 0
OW 0 261 57 585 32 0 0 0
VODI 0 27 11 538 373 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 91 667 100 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 46 1615 4245 2 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 36 1932 151 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-07-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 91936 6657 59 223 6 0 0 0
OW 0 150 47 380 22 0 0 0
VODI 0 18 10 562 197 2 0 0
ODI 0 1 1 124 779 203 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 19 1248 4162 230 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1425 639 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-07-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 91424 7283 61 271 4 0 0 0
OW 0 197 32 296 16 0 0 0
VODI 0 39 17 562 116 2 0 0
ODI 0 3 1 137 942 117 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 22 757 5063 146 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1184 408 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 91424 7277 64 274 2 0 0 0
OW 0 195 28 282 19 0 0 0
VODI 0 46 18 561 106 2 0 0
ODI 0 4 1 146 921 147 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 25 787 5065 177 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1152 377 0

Date: 2021-07-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 91961 6891 51 226 8 0 0 0
OW 0 223 36 266 21 0 0 0
VODI 0 37 14 501 143 9 0 0
ODI 0 6 1 106 859 237 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 22 814 4967 159 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1281 261 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 91961 6867 47 242 6 0 0 0
OW 0 229 36 267 20 0 0 0
VODI 0 54 17 477 159 6 0 0
ODI 0 7 2 113 870 231 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 22 790 4993 157 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1264 263 0

Date: 2021-07-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 93589 5582 41 152 0 0 0 0
OW 0 145 35 214 3 0 0 0
VODI 0 31 10 449 141 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 1 82 1403 91 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 6 620 5294 226 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 809 176 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 93589 5415 36 198 0 0 0 0
OW 0 266 25 230 21 0 0 0
VODI 0 65 24 338 267 16 0 0
ODI 0 12 2 107 893 224 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 30 986 5092 228 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 862 174 0

Date: 2021-07-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 94818 4500 35 151 0 0 0 0
OW 0 165 35 164 9 0 0 0
VODI 0 40 15 417 165 3 0 0
ODI 0 1 1 93 980 495 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 11 818 4944 725 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 172 343 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 94818 4347 34 209 0 0 0 0
OW 0 254 29 205 25 0 0 0
VODI 0 87 19 266 299 41 0 0
ODI 0 18 3 123 693 431 0 0
CDI 0 0 1 33 955 4952 705 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 190 363 0

Date: 2021-07-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 95270 4079 33 124 1 0 0 0
OW 8 218 28 153 3 0 0 0
VODI 0 72 29 339 170 1 0 0
ODI 0 1 2 103 777 731 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 51 818 4763 1001 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 2 323 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 95278 3962 42 180 1 0 0 0
OW 0 292 25 174 29 0 0 0
VODI 0 96 19 233 238 104 0 0
ODI 0 20 5 103 426 706 0 0
CDI 0 0 1 80 1075 4687 1205 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 119 0


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