Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2021-07-22

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2021-07-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4749 7447 87 278 5 0 0 0
OW 5 412 102 939 103 8 0 0
VODI 0 37 26 1108 958 24 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 58 3256 1398 2 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 822 4382 2456 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1580 1827 13
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-07-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4437 7992 76 249 1 0 0 0
OW 1 563 103 1079 103 6 0 0
VODI 0 44 24 1023 1089 44 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 42 3332 1483 12 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 774 5080 1920 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1413 1192 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-07-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4938 8063 75 135 2 0 0 0
OW 0 391 136 1012 15 4 0 0
VODI 0 8 8 1164 809 5 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 17 3507 640 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 344 5972 2052 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1174 1611 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-07-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4111 9277 69 157 0 0 0 0
OW 0 633 120 833 12 0 0 0
VODI 0 38 31 1081 937 2 0 0
ODI 0 2 1 104 3171 1036 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 15 678 7126 810 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1423 415 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4111 9453 103 303 3 0 0 0
OW 0 420 80 749 33 0 0 0
VODI 0 74 34 998 943 2 0 0
ODI 0 3 4 119 2990 869 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 21 825 7372 823 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 4 1344 402 0

Date: 2021-07-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 5497 8212 67 224 0 0 0 0
OW 0 776 90 722 61 0 0 0
VODI 0 141 52 868 1209 11 0 0
ODI 0 13 6 229 2647 1718 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 9 754 5966 1512 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 11 1064 223 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 5497 8406 82 338 2 0 0 0
OW 0 554 77 678 47 0 0 0
VODI 0 164 47 790 1221 18 0 0
ODI 0 18 9 221 2566 1685 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 25 827 6012 1479 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 19 1044 256 0

Date: 2021-07-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 6555 7868 51 188 0 0 0 0
OW 2 551 147 602 4 0 0 0
VODI 0 16 22 1396 491 12 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 86 3446 396 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 4 370 5672 1504 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 678 2019 2
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 6555 7531 83 460 0 0 0 0
OW 2 611 69 661 92 4 0 0
VODI 0 259 54 818 1311 71 0 0
ODI 0 34 14 327 2113 2410 88 0
CDI 0 0 0 10 777 3648 2894 2
VCDI 0 0 0 0 18 625 541 0

Date: 2021-07-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 6629 8068 76 237 7 0 0 0
OW 1 484 130 743 37 4 0 0
VODI 0 36 22 1593 748 22 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 105 2856 789 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 297 4552 2270 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 14 449 1913 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 6628 7574 93 567 25 0 0 0
OW 2 675 58 707 204 7 0 0
VODI 0 299 61 1090 1272 162 0 0
ODI 0 40 16 293 1810 2824 395 0
CDI 0 0 0 21 637 2354 3229 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 11 469 559 0

Date: 2021-07-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 7077 7921 70 269 2 0 0 0
OW 1 622 120 718 60 7 0 0
VODI 0 68 39 1405 1160 84 7 0
ODI 0 5 2 232 2478 1031 53 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 274 3997 2362 1
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 483 1534 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 7077 7262 93 685 70 46 0 0
OW 1 724 52 705 279 109 7 0
VODI 0 499 48 624 1426 371 40 0
ODI 0 131 38 474 1816 2731 349 0
CDI 0 0 0 136 383 2327 2781 1
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 18 779 0


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