Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - American sector

Bulletin date: 2021-07-22

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2021-07-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 7482 6054 99 347 127 2 0 0
OW 0 207 49 455 253 5 0 0
VODI 0 33 17 450 840 33 0 0
ODI 0 2 0 32 1822 1647 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 9 756 8961 90 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 140 10763 5191 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-07-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 8017 5789 79 396 106 0 0 0
OW 0 215 62 591 234 5 0 0
VODI 0 47 16 385 1055 25 0 0
ODI 0 2 0 94 3107 498 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 5 2632 6413 8 0
VCDI 0 2 0 8 176 10847 4961 91
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-07-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 8105 5972 96 376 83 0 0 0
OW 0 128 46 563 188 0 0 0
VODI 0 17 8 452 852 5 0 0
ODI 0 0 1 53 4102 1096 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 10 1872 6958 1 0
VCDI 0 2 0 9 393 7163 7125 190
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-07-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 9769 4559 86 361 89 0 0 0
OW 0 235 56 477 169 0 0 0
VODI 0 36 10 432 1217 9 0 0
ODI 0 1 0 59 3379 2001 0 0
CDI 0 1 0 8 1153 7426 56 0
VCDI 0 2 0 19 563 11615 2078 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 9769 4590 82 360 139 0 0 0
OW 0 202 56 470 160 0 0 0
VODI 0 38 14 453 1233 12 0 0
ODI 0 1 0 44 3232 2151 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 10 1244 7235 50 0
VCDI 0 3 0 19 562 11653 2083 0

Date: 2021-07-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 9532 4979 91 392 149 0 0 0
OW 0 254 46 443 209 1 0 0
VODI 0 47 14 419 1442 56 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 62 3571 1819 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 14 1190 6805 80 0
VCDI 0 0 0 59 374 7018 6571 229
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 9532 4992 93 453 197 0 0 0
OW 0 247 44 368 237 2 0 0
VODI 0 41 14 434 1377 53 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 60 3378 2027 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 9 1396 6497 85 0
VCDI 0 0 0 65 350 7120 6566 229

Date: 2021-07-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 10104 4820 72 346 57 0 0 0
OW 7 226 61 346 75 0 0 0
VODI 0 7 10 769 470 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 104 4711 619 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 14 848 8689 200 0
VCDI 0 0 0 56 427 4931 7222 675
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 10105 4780 94 549 144 0 0 0
OW 6 242 35 372 251 0 0 0
VODI 0 31 14 571 1666 21 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 71 3126 2071 2 0
CDI 0 0 0 3 951 6213 193 0
VCDI 0 0 0 69 450 5934 7227 675

Date: 2021-07-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 10326 4899 56 351 54 0 0 0
OW 2 291 62 336 96 0 0 0
VODI 0 61 24 784 675 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 136 3626 1690 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 15 1195 7605 671 0
VCDI 0 0 0 60 394 4788 6973 695
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 10326 4938 85 530 171 0 0 0
OW 2 235 39 426 354 0 0 0
VODI 0 78 18 591 1793 112 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 52 2366 2422 22 0
CDI 0 0 0 9 915 5994 711 0
VCDI 0 0 0 74 441 5555 6912 695

Date: 2021-07-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 9875 5624 56 358 40 0 0 0
OW 1 377 44 350 109 0 0 0
VODI 0 176 37 829 638 1 0 0
ODI 0 10 3 187 3709 1770 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 16 1255 7395 1342 0
VCDI 0 0 0 44 371 4158 5627 1463
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 9874 5688 81 615 215 0 0 0
OW 2 314 35 570 404 0 0 0
VODI 0 184 24 481 1609 502 0 0
ODI 0 1 0 47 2477 1923 50 0
CDI 0 0 0 16 971 5890 1379 0
VCDI 0 0 0 55 446 5009 5541 1463


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