Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2021-07-15

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2021-07-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 89059 7515 66 252 11 0 0 0
OW 0 234 41 555 74 0 0 0
VODI 0 50 10 692 565 0 0 0
ODI 0 1 4 118 943 108 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 63 728 2575 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 90 4579 767 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-07-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 90054 6735 58 232 19 0 0 0
OW 0 318 48 508 90 0 0 0
VODI 0 92 24 553 577 2 0 0
ODI 0 12 2 222 707 82 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 78 1096 2211 51 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 184 4427 718 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-07-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 90671 6751 82 214 10 0 0 0
OW 0 135 39 467 30 0 0 0
VODI 0 9 5 799 380 1 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 139 895 61 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 42 912 3450 2 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 970 2916 120 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-07-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 91394 6377 63 124 1 0 0 0
OW 0 163 41 549 13 0 0 0
VODI 0 41 18 882 261 1 0 0
ODI 0 3 2 139 732 45 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 46 1128 3778 212 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 2597 490 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 91394 6393 59 160 1 0 0 0
OW 0 147 46 499 14 0 0 0
VODI 0 42 17 887 222 1 0 0
ODI 0 2 2 146 743 29 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 48 1155 3830 216 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 2561 486 0

Date: 2021-07-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 91488 6466 50 152 1 0 0 0
OW 0 248 59 648 18 0 0 0
VODI 0 36 18 640 308 0 0 0
ODI 0 4 2 113 649 85 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 54 972 4753 64 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 2061 211 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 91488 6521 68 228 2 0 0 0
OW 0 192 39 620 20 0 0 0
VODI 0 37 20 584 269 0 0 0
ODI 0 4 2 123 626 92 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 52 1031 4787 59 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 2020 216 0

Date: 2021-07-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 92038 6448 54 170 0 0 0 0
OW 0 174 61 440 12 0 0 0
VODI 0 5 3 621 212 2 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 126 918 61 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 18 1871 3752 97 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 6 1264 747 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 92038 6317 66 282 2 0 0 0
OW 0 228 30 383 29 0 0 0
VODI 0 81 21 479 239 0 0 0
ODI 0 1 1 176 586 92 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 55 2154 3600 156 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 9 1387 688 0

Date: 2021-07-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 91460 7189 55 265 3 0 0 0
OW 0 190 42 309 13 0 0 0
VODI 0 38 19 613 92 2 0 0
ODI 0 0 1 149 966 56 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 26 1058 4571 110 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1548 325 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 91460 7015 66 297 6 0 0 0
OW 0 269 21 365 12 0 0 0
VODI 0 122 23 429 134 0 0 0
ODI 0 11 7 194 567 60 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 77 1413 3896 79 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 2221 356 0

Date: 2021-07-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 90766 7963 58 285 4 0 0 0
OW 0 222 37 270 15 0 0 0
VODI 0 43 14 556 114 2 0 0
ODI 0 5 1 119 961 117 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 21 1155 4839 10 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1493 30 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 90766 7782 63 326 8 0 0 0
OW 0 326 29 320 15 0 0 0
VODI 0 97 14 371 137 3 0 0
ODI 0 26 3 158 611 76 0 0
CDI 0 2 1 76 1478 3867 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 2505 40 0


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