Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2021-07-08

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2021-07-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 86071 9417 93 530 3 0 0 0
OW 33 279 44 651 86 1 0 0
VODI 0 50 9 673 519 13 0 0
ODI 0 5 3 436 920 61 0 0
CDI 0 13 2 111 1141 1924 83 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 131 2518 2787 493
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-07-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 87404 8493 96 410 12 0 0 0
OW 13 222 41 689 123 0 0 0
VODI 0 31 2 624 526 6 0 0
ODI 0 4 5 356 774 134 0 0
CDI 0 10 6 158 1133 2020 356 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 63 2047 2800 542
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-07-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 88288 7993 74 317 10 0 0 0
OW 1 128 45 493 60 3 0 0
VODI 0 13 8 948 401 2 0 0
ODI 0 2 1 230 1129 112 0 0
CDI 0 1 2 69 977 2440 17 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 35 2450 2851 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-07-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 90498 6015 60 240 21 0 0 0
OW 0 108 44 591 61 0 0 0
VODI 0 28 7 765 527 1 0 0
ODI 0 2 4 193 1110 30 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 94 978 2380 32 0
VCDI 0 0 0 1 105 3915 1290 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 90497 6023 67 307 29 0 0 0
OW 1 96 36 529 82 0 0 0
VODI 0 32 8 762 452 0 0 0
ODI 0 2 4 182 1129 7 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 101 993 2320 53 0
VCDI 0 0 0 3 117 3999 1269 0

Date: 2021-07-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 89043 7594 63 255 17 0 0 0
OW 0 326 43 529 83 0 0 0
VODI 0 74 17 654 546 0 0 0
ODI 0 7 3 201 801 58 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 80 1093 2051 64 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 200 4569 729 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 89043 7647 72 342 38 0 0 0
OW 0 249 33 439 62 0 0 0
VODI 0 96 18 653 446 0 0 0
ODI 0 9 3 201 890 35 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 84 1110 1828 47 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 194 4815 746 0

Date: 2021-07-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 89906 7323 79 235 11 0 0 0
OW 0 108 40 462 48 0 0 0
VODI 0 7 7 780 354 1 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 143 1097 49 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 37 1009 3067 39 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 1156 2937 205 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 89906 7082 70 342 46 0 0 0
OW 0 230 32 383 80 0 0 0
VODI 0 114 20 605 434 0 0 0
ODI 0 12 4 241 746 23 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 86 1024 2334 32 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 1345 3697 212 0

Date: 2021-07-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 90998 6565 76 195 8 0 0 0
OW 0 112 35 512 23 0 0 0
VODI 0 18 8 947 267 1 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 154 773 51 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 42 944 3811 130 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 708 2575 147 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 90998 6324 64 293 10 0 0 0
OW 0 219 41 500 23 0 0 0
VODI 0 141 11 646 271 0 0 0
ODI 0 11 3 329 585 22 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 82 963 2783 95 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 871 3633 182 0

Date: 2021-07-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 91479 6407 51 123 1 0 0 0
OW 0 211 57 603 13 0 0 0
VODI 0 39 18 820 227 2 0 0
ODI 0 2 0 153 649 68 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 51 1353 4064 150 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 2315 244 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 91479 6175 48 243 0 0 0 0
OW 0 303 47 513 5 0 0 0
VODI 0 157 26 615 216 0 0 0
ODI 0 23 5 284 503 22 0 0
CDI 0 1 0 95 1476 3048 142 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 43 3379 252 0


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