Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2021-07-08

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2021-07-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1315 5843 145 1295 119 0 0 0
OW 0 326 102 929 327 0 0 0
VODI 0 24 16 889 983 20 0 0
ODI 0 0 2 99 2122 975 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 3 419 6550 1184 0
VCDI 0 0 0 1 27 2920 4581 866
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-07-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1286 6795 156 1225 35 0 0 0
OW 0 486 105 1015 239 4 0 0
VODI 0 49 23 892 1127 77 0 0
ODI 0 1 1 145 2229 767 0 0
CDI 0 0 1 1 1308 6233 324 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 7 2473 3535 1543
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-07-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1525 7979 196 865 15 3 0 0
OW 0 191 68 988 130 2 0 0
VODI 0 6 12 914 1053 37 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 34 3166 578 3 0
CDI 0 0 0 1 1228 6267 543 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 113 2758 3407 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-07-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1704 8506 171 708 6 3 0 0
OW 0 196 66 971 205 4 0 0
VODI 0 11 6 769 1565 100 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 42 2298 1260 15 0
CDI 0 0 0 1 1081 6418 299 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 59 2290 3180 148
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1704 8583 186 909 57 3 0 0
OW 0 121 48 779 210 6 0 0
VODI 0 9 9 745 1466 130 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 57 2206 1333 49 0
CDI 0 0 0 1 1206 6295 312 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 69 2308 3133 148

Date: 2021-07-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 3011 7744 143 478 23 3 0 0
OW 0 283 71 1169 231 13 0 0
VODI 0 15 9 839 1493 185 1 0
ODI 0 0 0 26 2059 1779 64 0
CDI 0 1 0 0 701 5823 589 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 5 2117 3207 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 3011 7823 164 739 89 3 0 0
OW 0 205 51 913 236 21 0 0
VODI 0 14 8 840 1330 178 1 0
ODI 0 0 0 20 1996 1766 115 0
CDI 0 1 0 0 849 5731 592 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 12 2221 3153 0

Date: 2021-07-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 3826 7554 112 312 8 3 0 0
OW 1 200 99 795 60 3 0 0
VODI 0 6 11 1169 642 11 0 0
ODI 0 1 0 37 3466 514 2 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 1336 7077 309 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 2650 1878 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 3826 7562 159 787 100 3 0 0
OW 1 176 51 923 455 36 0 0
VODI 0 22 12 571 1362 254 14 0
ODI 0 1 0 32 1979 1914 120 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 1543 4599 423 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 73 3452 1632 0

Date: 2021-07-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4111 7558 143 433 15 1 0 0
OW 0 215 64 905 167 6 0 0
VODI 0 3 7 808 1155 26 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 27 3120 1200 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 1180 5793 1239 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 128 1619 2158 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4111 7565 162 955 202 3 0 0
OW 0 182 45 810 692 50 0 0
VODI 0 29 7 366 1592 399 5 0
ODI 0 0 0 42 1786 1919 266 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 1365 4164 956 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 128 2110 2171 0

Date: 2021-07-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4749 7447 87 278 5 0 0 0
OW 5 412 102 939 103 8 0 0
VODI 0 37 26 1108 958 24 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 58 3256 1398 2 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 822 4382 2456 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1580 1827 13
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4751 7555 154 954 178 2 0 0
OW 3 221 36 941 345 73 0 0
VODI 0 99 20 374 1702 477 42 0
ODI 0 21 5 110 1833 1644 82 0
CDI 0 0 0 4 1080 3478 1935 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 6 1718 2226 13


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