Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2021-07-01

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2021-06-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 83738 10455 117 546 64 0 0 0
OW 9 146 43 661 139 15 0 0
VODI 0 7 9 598 878 24 1 0
ODI 0 1 0 170 1061 102 3 0
CDI 0 0 0 228 1031 1488 220 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 328 1791 4050 1177
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-06-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 84429 10194 92 575 66 0 0 0
OW 8 237 45 668 195 17 0 0
VODI 0 54 20 539 619 37 0 0
ODI 0 11 2 194 904 120 4 0
CDI 0 5 3 264 1061 1211 307 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 293 1510 3835 1581
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-06-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 84533 10622 90 454 42 0 0 0
OW 7 237 50 631 46 3 0 0
VODI 0 61 18 625 579 14 0 0
ODI 0 19 4 206 1309 146 0 0
CDI 0 4 4 121 868 1269 198 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 194 2094 3591 1061
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-07-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 85947 9472 96 506 4 0 0 0
OW 44 273 42 663 67 0 0 0
VODI 0 50 16 632 555 10 0 0
ODI 0 7 4 490 1007 27 0 0
CDI 0 11 2 104 1308 1231 65 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 247 3395 2806 19
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 85979 9552 107 714 4 0 0 0
OW 12 195 34 490 54 0 0 0
VODI 0 48 13 551 544 9 0 0
ODI 0 6 4 536 1002 32 0 0
CDI 0 12 2 104 1312 1230 102 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 272 3392 2769 19

Date: 2021-07-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 87809 7920 91 410 5 0 0 0
OW 24 261 48 671 77 0 0 0
VODI 0 39 8 694 519 5 0 0
ODI 0 5 4 411 846 84 0 0
CDI 0 11 3 133 1233 2028 248 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 109 2350 2835 219
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 87824 8009 108 536 6 0 0 0
OW 9 160 29 577 86 0 0 0
VODI 0 52 10 670 450 6 0 0
ODI 0 4 4 401 927 82 0 0
CDI 0 11 3 135 1225 1875 290 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 95 2504 2793 219

Date: 2021-07-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 88075 8081 78 313 6 1 0 0
OW 7 153 43 439 50 0 0 0
VODI 0 8 5 1055 348 0 0 0
ODI 0 5 2 263 1141 99 0 0
CDI 0 11 5 51 899 2444 170 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 2 2143 3193 10
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 88081 8008 90 463 18 0 0 0
OW 1 182 25 578 190 1 0 0
VODI 0 51 8 559 479 6 0 0
ODI 0 4 4 343 681 185 0 0
CDI 0 13 6 178 896 1843 391 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 182 2652 2972 10

Date: 2021-07-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 88324 8067 74 263 16 0 0 0
OW 0 116 59 520 73 0 0 0
VODI 0 9 13 778 554 1 0 0
ODI 0 1 0 175 1161 79 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 78 880 2512 55 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 96 4260 936 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 88324 7949 95 431 52 0 0 0
OW 0 201 34 512 202 0 0 0
VODI 0 40 16 432 581 6 0 0
ODI 0 3 1 240 817 66 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 195 857 2574 81 0
VCDI 0 0 0 4 271 4206 910 0

Date: 2021-07-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 89059 7515 66 252 11 0 0 0
OW 0 234 41 555 74 0 0 0
VODI 0 50 10 692 565 0 0 0
ODI 0 1 4 118 943 108 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 63 728 2575 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 90 4579 767 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 89059 7427 77 415 76 0 0 0
OW 0 225 22 495 136 0 0 0
VODI 0 129 16 375 576 8 0 0
ODI 0 19 4 242 618 105 0 0
CDI 0 0 2 153 809 2893 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 196 4256 767 0


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