Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2021-07-01

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2021-06-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 620 5269 174 916 271 0 0 0
OW 0 181 62 750 923 0 0 0
VODI 0 75 20 373 1360 144 0 0
ODI 0 13 11 106 1617 746 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 26 946 6466 934 0
VCDI 0 0 0 1 7 1664 5343 3063
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-06-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 592 5655 182 983 554 0 0 0
OW 0 207 65 689 820 12 0 0
VODI 0 75 24 477 1138 291 3 0
ODI 0 1 4 159 1537 905 51 0
CDI 0 0 0 21 758 5989 1467 0
VCDI 0 0 0 1 2 851 7664 905
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-06-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 595 5880 163 997 468 0 0 0
OW 0 202 92 632 396 0 0 0
VODI 0 3 7 723 1097 20 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 59 2393 550 9 0
CDI 0 0 0 1 355 5947 1329 0
VCDI 0 0 0 1 1 1587 7163 1412
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-07-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1073 5620 152 1264 323 0 0 0
OW 0 233 99 776 430 4 0 0
VODI 0 13 9 608 1217 52 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 47 1828 1219 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 3 289 5985 1773 0
VCDI 0 0 0 1 1 1887 5778 1398
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1073 5658 172 1366 423 0 0 0
OW 0 189 77 710 384 8 0 0
VODI 0 19 11 567 1145 50 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 50 1768 1080 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 5 362 6014 1655 0
VCDI 0 0 0 1 6 1995 5896 1398

Date: 2021-07-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1238 6417 142 1262 31 0 0 0
OW 0 420 98 1051 230 1 0 0
VODI 0 64 22 835 1067 29 0 0
ODI 0 4 3 153 2286 774 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 9 755 6469 763 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 16 3367 3508 1068
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1238 6426 147 1416 90 0 0 0
OW 0 408 90 920 195 1 0 0
VODI 0 63 24 779 1084 24 0 0
ODI 0 8 4 179 2193 808 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 15 807 6128 755 0
VCDI 0 0 0 1 16 3679 3516 1068

Date: 2021-07-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1441 7440 169 958 28 0 0 0
OW 0 317 105 899 115 5 0 0
VODI 0 11 9 1074 740 4 0 0
ODI 0 1 0 18 3446 432 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 1 855 6900 576 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 19 2158 4073 287
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1441 7153 170 1231 124 1 0 0
OW 0 531 93 716 271 8 0 0
VODI 0 78 18 801 1179 113 0 0
ODI 0 7 2 190 2221 1079 2 0
CDI 0 0 0 12 1244 5022 932 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 164 3276 3716 287

Date: 2021-07-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1578 8323 186 765 6 3 0 0
OW 0 164 68 1023 141 3 0 0
VODI 0 13 7 802 1366 78 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 21 2816 815 7 0
CDI 0 0 0 1 1297 6269 363 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 76 2327 3544 20
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1578 7889 169 940 98 6 0 0
OW 0 529 60 714 257 49 0 0
VODI 0 80 30 819 1326 185 0 0
ODI 0 2 2 120 2268 1285 17 0
CDI 0 0 0 18 1437 4829 605 0
VCDI 0 0 0 1 316 3141 3292 20

Date: 2021-07-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 3071 7448 144 568 19 4 0 0
OW 1 254 83 879 311 4 0 0
VODI 0 13 7 700 1688 154 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 43 2006 1681 27 0
CDI 0 1 0 0 828 6472 190 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 35 1876 3510 65
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2975 7100 132 674 229 28 0 0
OW 97 493 73 510 286 91 0 0
VODI 0 120 28 860 1513 304 19 0
ODI 0 2 1 146 1444 2008 63 0
CDI 0 1 0 0 1194 5477 414 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 221 2283 3231 65


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