Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2021-06-24

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2021-06-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 81717 11305 123 741 151 5 0 0
OW 18 223 23 420 146 21 0 0
VODI 0 72 11 419 514 68 0 0
ODI 0 7 3 167 831 344 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 147 1477 1594 203 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 616 1808 2344 3582
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-06-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 82007 11301 119 634 109 16 0 0
OW 16 182 29 547 113 24 0 0
VODI 0 50 7 486 644 72 0 0
ODI 0 9 7 168 800 217 3 0
CDI 0 0 0 190 1469 1367 196 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 554 1888 3644 2232
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-06-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 82407 11192 120 618 77 6 0 0
OW 12 93 44 529 93 12 0 0
VODI 0 1 1 705 470 26 2 0
ODI 0 0 0 157 1505 142 2 0
CDI 0 0 0 232 1233 1896 153 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 405 1261 4003 1703
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-06-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 80753 13110 128 632 114 1 0 0
OW 9 124 36 653 104 15 1 0
VODI 0 7 3 713 732 30 1 0
ODI 0 0 0 182 1180 96 3 0
CDI 0 0 0 202 1278 1584 496 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 209 1898 4111 695
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 80753 13139 132 679 135 3 0 0
OW 9 96 31 655 116 17 1 0
VODI 0 6 4 661 728 30 2 0
ODI 0 0 0 163 1052 75 4 0
CDI 0 0 0 224 1398 1408 527 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 188 2091 4078 695

Date: 2021-06-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 84220 10205 96 499 89 0 0 0
OW 9 222 41 656 178 8 0 0
VODI 0 49 20 515 804 20 0 0
ODI 0 6 2 140 1017 94 2 0
CDI 0 2 2 255 1079 1367 115 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 377 1476 3444 2091
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 84220 10255 107 610 129 1 0 0
OW 9 168 32 588 202 10 0 0
VODI 0 53 18 452 709 22 0 0
ODI 0 6 2 136 964 78 2 0
CDI 0 2 2 279 1134 1398 216 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 406 1456 3343 2091

Date: 2021-06-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 84081 10821 83 420 101 0 0 0
OW 8 200 50 542 95 4 0 0
VODI 0 37 16 763 543 17 0 0
ODI 0 12 4 262 1398 110 1 0
CDI 0 2 3 105 892 1325 209 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 41 1697 3840 1418
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 84082 10751 93 658 237 4 0 0
OW 7 183 37 539 179 19 0 0
VODI 0 97 17 450 487 42 0 0
ODI 0 15 2 165 792 143 12 0
CDI 0 26 7 280 1031 1128 753 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 344 1817 3285 1418

Date: 2021-06-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 85485 9836 91 504 4 0 0 0
OW 49 231 42 643 60 0 0 0
VODI 5 68 15 621 532 15 0 0
ODI 0 10 4 182 1345 72 0 0
CDI 0 9 1 91 1085 1359 94 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 298 3170 2745 434
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 85532 9708 100 809 30 0 0 0
OW 7 278 28 440 126 8 0 0
VODI 0 138 14 359 486 22 0 0
ODI 0 5 4 135 808 121 0 0
CDI 0 25 7 298 1240 1676 186 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 634 2789 2653 434

Date: 2021-07-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 86071 9417 93 530 3 0 0 0
OW 33 279 44 651 86 1 0 0
VODI 0 50 9 673 519 13 0 0
ODI 0 5 3 436 920 61 0 0
CDI 0 13 2 111 1141 1924 83 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 131 2518 2787 493
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 86098 9289 103 893 40 0 0 0
OW 6 356 26 327 106 7 0 0
VODI 0 93 16 409 455 20 0 0
ODI 0 9 2 246 759 139 0 0
CDI 0 17 4 526 1193 2217 120 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 247 2134 2750 493


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