Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2021-06-17

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2021-06-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 21 2588 86 383 94 0 0 0
OW 0 333 45 416 319 12 0 0
VODI 0 195 23 336 831 124 0 6
ODI 0 91 20 286 1627 1058 17 2
CDI 0 45 9 60 742 3053 674 16
VCDI 0 0 0 0 639 4186 7249 6496
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-06-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 45 2785 106 419 33 80 0 0
OW 0 369 41 445 271 95 0 0
VODI 0 250 35 410 769 348 0 6
ODI 0 99 22 481 1623 889 22 2
CDI 0 45 7 58 809 2845 775 12
VCDI 0 0 0 0 917 4131 7168 5670
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-06-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 108 3379 116 440 52 38 0 0
OW 0 278 62 607 211 38 1 0
VODI 0 83 18 612 916 119 9 0
ODI 0 35 3 101 1887 506 4 0
CDI 0 28 7 63 1533 4229 493 1
VCDI 0 0 0 0 43 3473 7521 5068
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-06-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 378 3561 101 543 88 9 0 0
OW 0 284 68 745 199 47 4 0
VODI 0 96 26 594 1002 150 11 0
ODI 0 48 1 120 1624 490 21 0
CDI 0 26 6 56 2053 4483 142 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 46 4723 6046 4291
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 378 3588 119 732 146 16 0 0
OW 0 244 50 585 230 50 3 0
VODI 0 106 26 547 1150 160 11 0
ODI 0 46 0 133 1417 456 18 0
CDI 0 31 7 61 1983 4258 163 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 86 4962 6029 4291

Date: 2021-06-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 427 3866 120 753 109 0 0 0
OW 0 328 59 751 325 8 0 0
VODI 0 167 39 691 1048 113 0 0
ODI 0 44 4 300 1374 444 1 0
CDI 0 24 7 135 2611 4002 461 0
VCDI 0 0 0 2 295 5410 4749 3415
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 427 3928 140 932 191 2 0 0
OW 0 257 38 648 341 10 0 0
VODI 0 175 40 643 1138 107 0 0
ODI 0 45 4 270 1196 407 1 0
CDI 0 24 7 138 2628 3858 437 0
VCDI 0 0 0 1 268 5593 4773 3415

Date: 2021-06-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 504 4582 155 808 76 0 0 0
OW 0 239 73 842 138 0 0 0
VODI 0 179 10 998 863 52 0 0
ODI 0 48 15 209 2352 330 0 0
CDI 0 2 3 35 2782 5130 243 0
VCDI 0 0 0 8 1110 2275 4676 3345
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 504 4229 155 1136 187 0 0 0
OW 0 322 36 649 421 15 0 0
VODI 0 312 31 547 1130 235 0 0
ODI 0 81 15 286 843 442 7 0
CDI 0 101 16 256 2867 3796 428 0
VCDI 0 5 3 26 1873 3299 4484 3345

Date: 2021-06-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 587 4930 180 916 206 0 0 0
OW 0 125 48 796 531 18 0 0
VODI 0 52 22 395 1594 101 0 0
ODI 0 30 7 164 1959 474 3 0
CDI 0 0 2 32 1644 5912 765 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 7 2499 4649 3434
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 587 4410 167 1049 319 0 0 0
OW 0 273 28 541 679 48 0 0
VODI 0 202 21 304 1471 195 0 0
ODI 0 113 20 134 1004 442 22 0
CDI 0 139 23 275 2192 4451 1091 3
VCDI 0 0 0 0 276 3868 4304 3431

Date: 2021-06-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 620 5269 174 916 271 0 0 0
OW 0 181 62 750 923 0 0 0
VODI 0 75 20 373 1360 144 0 0
ODI 0 13 11 106 1617 746 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 26 946 6466 934 0
VCDI 0 0 0 1 7 1664 5343 3063
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 620 4847 157 996 444 0 0 0
OW 0 347 50 525 818 11 0 0
VODI 0 181 27 289 1343 184 0 0
ODI 0 79 16 198 993 568 17 0
CDI 0 83 16 146 1494 5387 1150 0
VCDI 0 1 1 18 32 2870 5111 3063


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