Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2021-06-10

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2021-06-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 77213 13079 214 1395 237 64 19 0
OW 35 122 33 887 326 31 13 0
VODI 0 46 12 544 694 124 41 0
ODI 0 9 6 212 806 176 64 0
CDI 0 0 0 192 1393 1697 710 0
VCDI 0 0 0 1 268 2544 5535 358
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-06-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 77173 13452 223 1612 266 55 11 0
OW 32 123 23 883 316 49 9 0
VODI 0 70 15 379 549 125 30 0
ODI 0 18 8 205 704 256 48 0
CDI 0 0 1 203 1541 1666 311 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 304 2944 5438 58
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-06-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 79089 12015 177 1388 222 46 3 0
OW 29 167 49 815 183 22 9 0
VODI 0 19 13 549 575 54 7 0
ODI 0 0 1 149 1075 251 22 0
CDI 0 0 0 137 1335 1797 186 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 343 3029 4954 390
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-06-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 79650 12130 194 1006 223 29 2 0
OW 28 254 50 659 171 32 9 0
VODI 0 23 14 495 620 82 16 0
ODI 0 5 4 95 993 257 29 0
CDI 0 0 1 128 1328 1727 206 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 330 2502 4273 1535
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 79650 12082 195 1044 236 34 3 0
OW 28 283 47 602 169 39 9 0
VODI 0 40 14 514 654 86 17 0
ODI 0 6 5 89 949 274 32 0
CDI 0 1 2 134 1318 1595 154 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 339 2601 4320 1535

Date: 2021-06-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 80207 12108 171 875 288 26 2 0
OW 25 169 44 498 250 36 7 0
VODI 0 23 9 355 673 129 29 0
ODI 0 5 2 75 851 273 17 0
CDI 0 0 0 127 1440 1725 252 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 225 2166 3087 2931
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 80207 12041 181 942 329 33 4 0
OW 25 232 33 459 246 54 5 0
VODI 0 25 10 330 669 131 27 0
ODI 0 7 1 64 814 239 29 0
CDI 0 0 1 135 1446 1649 213 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 223 2249 3116 2931

Date: 2021-06-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 80859 11808 129 677 227 16 0 0
OW 24 296 52 361 115 11 0 0
VODI 0 22 14 429 417 49 0 0
ODI 0 0 1 69 1327 156 10 0
CDI 0 0 0 99 1129 1881 292 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 384 1901 2916 3429
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 80860 11866 147 877 386 41 0 0
OW 23 210 30 285 244 85 3 0
VODI 0 41 16 282 509 170 43 0
ODI 0 7 2 63 768 156 44 0
CDI 0 2 1 128 1283 1633 486 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 409 1929 2642 3429

Date: 2021-06-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 81690 11163 124 741 236 6 0 0
OW 20 297 39 320 117 20 0 0
VODI 0 37 15 496 364 52 0 0
ODI 0 2 2 117 982 275 12 0
CDI 0 0 0 147 1262 1888 192 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 511 2365 2742 2866
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 81690 11138 129 935 450 66 0 0
OW 20 243 26 233 181 90 10 0
VODI 0 78 18 349 319 140 20 0
ODI 0 39 3 105 679 197 30 0
CDI 0 1 4 199 1328 1880 322 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 515 2233 2564 2866

Date: 2021-06-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 81717 11305 123 741 151 5 0 0
OW 18 223 23 420 146 21 0 0
VODI 0 72 11 419 514 68 0 0
ODI 0 7 3 167 831 344 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 147 1477 1594 203 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 616 1808 2344 3582
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 81717 11233 125 1017 407 63 0 0
OW 18 199 20 326 172 116 0 0
VODI 0 84 6 255 381 96 0 0
ODI 0 64 4 75 728 215 1 0
CDI 0 27 5 221 1490 1726 317 1
VCDI 0 0 0 0 557 1624 2229 3581


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