Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2021-06-10

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2021-06-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1230 40 206 40 1 0 0
OW 0 265 44 421 200 0 0 0
VODI 0 197 20 361 461 56 0 0
ODI 0 243 20 354 650 788 25 6
CDI 0 146 23 247 2331 2230 905 47
VCDI 0 14 2 25 972 3833 9596 6083
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-06-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1308 72 250 71 1 0 0
OW 0 300 23 296 266 2 0 0
VODI 0 286 34 329 455 137 0 0
ODI 0 262 21 378 801 817 56 7
CDI 0 162 24 318 2545 2099 920 41
VCDI 0 4 2 29 1505 5008 9934 3319
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-06-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 2079 96 291 91 0 0 0
OW 0 291 48 387 182 3 0 0
VODI 0 213 16 459 613 36 0 3
ODI 0 95 21 234 1914 475 0 4
CDI 0 48 6 66 1801 3088 381 16
VCDI 0 0 1 0 716 5471 9638 3299
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-06-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1 2417 91 386 92 15 0 0
OW 0 313 44 413 273 51 0 0
VODI 0 196 20 319 637 218 1 6
ODI 0 101 22 230 1480 1236 15 2
CDI 0 45 8 47 912 3181 555 9
VCDI 0 0 0 0 856 4496 8790 4604
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1 2422 90 421 135 19 0 0
OW 0 303 50 408 233 52 0 0
VODI 0 194 14 286 681 287 1 6
ODI 0 108 23 224 1462 1381 16 2
CDI 0 45 8 56 860 2825 521 8
VCDI 0 0 0 0 879 4633 8823 4605

Date: 2021-06-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 21 2713 93 370 116 4 0 0
OW 0 360 51 426 305 23 0 0
VODI 0 229 34 366 810 206 0 5
ODI 0 90 23 368 1637 957 9 3
CDI 0 44 5 55 869 3070 533 20
VCDI 0 0 0 0 840 4065 6711 6651
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 21 2733 98 450 171 3 0 0
OW 0 332 50 375 326 23 0 0
VODI 0 234 30 333 835 250 0 6
ODI 0 98 23 372 1524 935 5 2
CDI 0 39 5 55 870 2925 501 20
VCDI 0 0 0 0 851 4189 6747 6651

Date: 2021-06-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 51 3236 119 387 22 35 0 0
OW 0 303 67 503 98 49 0 0
VODI 0 68 19 909 605 90 4 0
ODI 0 33 2 66 2237 497 6 0
CDI 0 24 6 49 1379 4278 515 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 174 3252 10465 2534
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 51 2930 113 559 83 116 0 0
OW 0 322 38 402 321 113 0 0
VODI 0 265 34 437 834 447 6 0
ODI 0 108 21 448 1518 587 33 0
CDI 0 39 7 60 639 3033 1137 0
VCDI 0 0 0 8 1120 3905 9814 2534

Date: 2021-06-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 279 3427 113 499 77 19 0 0
OW 0 252 66 688 213 45 0 0
VODI 0 82 15 561 1004 156 0 0
ODI 0 40 0 109 1640 596 0 0
CDI 0 33 7 58 1457 4690 240 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 8 3747 7484 4477
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 279 3033 102 623 208 130 0 0
OW 0 372 32 335 443 181 0 0
VODI 0 318 48 598 1098 507 0 0
ODI 0 83 13 273 1160 450 9 0
CDI 0 28 6 82 1055 3845 1052 0
VCDI 0 0 0 4 435 4140 6663 4477

Date: 2021-06-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 400 3724 124 637 70 8 0 0
OW 0 297 51 749 248 40 0 0
VODI 0 121 31 604 1080 128 0 0
ODI 0 52 2 136 1484 573 0 0
CDI 0 16 4 81 2133 4587 215 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 41 4521 6055 3870
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 400 3178 99 775 273 189 0 0
OW 0 447 31 432 527 173 0 0
VODI 0 473 59 658 1135 279 0 0
ODI 0 91 19 214 964 328 1 0
CDI 0 21 4 119 1899 4389 856 0
VCDI 0 0 0 9 258 4499 5413 3870


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