Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - American sector

Bulletin date: 2021-06-10

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2021-06-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 799 82 476 109 0 0 0
OW 0 130 19 347 201 41 3 0
VODI 0 116 9 315 439 78 7 0
ODI 0 72 9 170 730 232 46 0
CDI 0 57 4 132 1478 1890 1157 30
VCDI 0 152 15 146 738 3732 21193 10712
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-06-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 854 82 573 192 15 2 0
OW 0 154 19 373 236 42 4 0
VODI 0 178 13 245 447 85 17 0
ODI 0 77 6 159 683 241 99 1
CDI 0 92 3 122 1384 2351 2036 10
VCDI 0 155 8 196 624 4336 20208 9544
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-06-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1200 84 600 181 17 4 0
OW 0 168 23 456 169 29 1 0
VODI 0 171 12 397 584 63 7 0
ODI 0 87 7 212 1037 232 13 0
CDI 0 135 13 201 1293 2816 1186 0
VCDI 0 109 7 177 479 2881 16381 14434
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-06-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1659 102 610 172 33 5 0
OW 0 310 44 490 207 33 4 0
VODI 0 234 20 384 572 111 20 0
ODI 0 158 21 271 829 361 63 0
CDI 0 193 15 239 1078 3084 1665 0
VCDI 0 93 9 175 520 2622 13038 16422
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1735 112 708 187 32 2 0
OW 0 273 35 407 199 29 6 0
VODI 0 206 21 383 558 133 18 0
ODI 0 143 18 261 781 298 59 0
CDI 0 197 16 230 1092 2920 1671 0
VCDI 0 93 9 180 561 2832 13039 16422

Date: 2021-06-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1977 130 707 233 27 13 0
OW 0 351 37 470 243 40 12 0
VODI 0 211 16 373 586 155 36 0
ODI 0 147 14 304 718 462 61 0
CDI 0 297 23 253 1074 3101 2551 0
VCDI 0 16 1 142 503 2924 11604 16054
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 2039 131 784 249 27 9 0
OW 0 299 33 366 235 36 13 0
VODI 0 221 21 417 560 166 37 0
ODI 0 114 10 271 710 467 62 0
CDI 0 310 25 287 1094 3001 2288 0
VCDI 0 16 1 124 509 3012 11868 16054

Date: 2021-06-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 2585 127 754 198 22 4 0
OW 0 353 52 454 127 20 1 0
VODI 0 102 8 666 602 58 6 0
ODI 0 64 8 229 1290 243 15 0
CDI 0 234 25 223 1242 4134 1210 2
VCDI 0 5 1 95 329 1578 10501 18299
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 2295 123 853 266 39 1 0
OW 0 332 33 352 250 56 6 0
VODI 0 259 24 451 677 146 23 0
ODI 0 130 12 306 703 428 36 2
CDI 0 250 18 257 1144 3745 1898 0
VCDI 0 77 11 202 748 1641 9773 18299

Date: 2021-06-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 3134 125 759 219 24 4 0
OW 0 330 31 466 242 24 2 0
VODI 0 175 30 549 799 72 2 0
ODI 0 135 12 261 866 256 9 0
CDI 0 320 24 290 1743 3429 1575 0
VCDI 0 1 2 166 915 8693 12498 7684
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 2581 113 748 316 42 3 0
OW 0 429 32 299 311 32 4 0
VODI 0 378 25 468 777 95 11 0
ODI 0 233 13 326 690 371 33 0
CDI 0 380 31 435 1403 3531 1993 0
VCDI 0 94 10 215 1287 8427 12046 7684

Date: 2021-06-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 3283 130 858 209 35 0 0
OW 0 340 43 594 313 17 0 0
VODI 0 126 14 501 909 42 0 0
ODI 0 96 9 249 1101 294 8 0
CDI 0 257 20 219 1686 4978 131 0
VCDI 0 44 5 133 1247 13091 5965 8919
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 2865 110 804 320 57 0 0
OW 0 389 42 485 372 23 0 0
VODI 0 253 18 448 872 91 10 0
ODI 0 156 14 268 759 432 35 0
CDI 0 404 29 392 1603 5582 302 0
VCDI 0 79 8 157 1539 12272 5757 8919


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