Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2021-06-03

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2021-05-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 332 16 159 7 0 0 0
OW 0 169 23 261 114 7 0 0
VODI 0 131 23 237 347 28 14 0
ODI 0 155 19 275 452 182 44 0
CDI 0 334 51 521 1556 2610 501 11
VCDI 0 0 0 42 580 4526 9527 8828
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-05-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 463 15 144 11 0 0 0
OW 0 132 13 328 84 1 0 0
VODI 0 161 26 312 335 42 14 0
ODI 0 161 20 324 422 217 86 0
CDI 0 412 53 595 1504 2688 621 0
VCDI 0 3 1 46 781 5461 9953 6653
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-06-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 900 38 194 11 0 0 0
OW 0 220 42 382 113 1 0 0
VODI 0 144 21 527 350 35 0 0
ODI 0 264 17 308 650 334 9 0
CDI 0 145 26 289 1495 3375 375 0
VCDI 0 14 3 22 711 4422 8641 8004
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-06-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1126 53 177 27 1 0 0
OW 0 274 51 420 165 9 0 0
VODI 0 173 13 426 428 30 1 0
ODI 0 266 22 329 748 524 22 5
CDI 0 139 19 239 1927 2710 771 41
VCDI 0 17 2 71 696 3523 8289 8348
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1227 63 278 66 0 0 0
OW 0 191 42 348 172 9 0 0
VODI 0 160 13 401 443 45 1 0
ODI 0 264 21 311 714 530 23 5
CDI 0 138 19 254 1895 2645 823 42
VCDI 0 15 2 70 701 3568 8236 8347

Date: 2021-06-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1284 61 224 65 1 0 0
OW 0 273 33 329 231 0 0 0
VODI 0 241 34 337 473 75 0 0
ODI 0 240 25 356 709 821 37 6
CDI 0 157 20 332 2546 2030 935 61
VCDI 0 9 2 55 1187 3473 9641 5779
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1371 67 276 119 1 0 0
OW 0 227 37 263 237 2 0 0
VODI 0 219 23 354 442 140 0 0
ODI 0 228 28 361 730 734 47 7
CDI 0 150 18 307 2414 2039 1017 62
VCDI 0 9 2 72 1269 3484 9549 5777

Date: 2021-06-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1825 82 230 61 0 0 0
OW 0 303 55 370 126 3 0 0
VODI 0 180 25 579 513 11 0 0
ODI 0 107 18 229 1914 268 3 7
CDI 0 43 6 64 2206 3057 372 10
VCDI 0 1 0 2 744 5596 9754 3318
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1529 96 310 161 3 0 0
OW 0 258 13 211 262 29 0 0
VODI 0 281 35 364 533 207 1 4
ODI 0 270 18 315 993 663 52 5
CDI 0 120 23 259 2340 2223 1132 36
VCDI 0 1 1 15 1275 5810 8944 3290

Date: 2021-06-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 2281 95 337 93 0 0 0
OW 0 308 50 420 234 11 0 0
VODI 0 198 15 366 690 79 0 6
ODI 0 102 24 228 1713 895 2 2
CDI 0 45 7 59 1234 3162 455 13
VCDI 0 0 0 0 1026 4510 9087 4335
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1792 79 358 216 0 0 0
OW 0 299 26 181 294 55 0 1
VODI 0 382 35 317 613 371 15 5
ODI 0 321 21 263 1039 633 48 6
CDI 0 140 30 284 1808 2830 1529 19
VCDI 0 0 0 7 1020 4768 7952 4325

Date: 2021-06-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 21 2588 86 383 94 0 0 0
OW 0 333 45 416 319 12 0 0
VODI 0 195 23 336 831 124 0 6
ODI 0 91 20 286 1627 1058 17 2
CDI 0 45 9 60 742 3053 674 16
VCDI 0 0 0 0 639 4186 7249 6496
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 21 2040 64 399 269 1 0 1
OW 0 362 25 175 311 77 0 4
VODI 0 454 37 342 723 414 0 4
ODI 0 308 30 295 1066 612 52 8
CDI 0 88 27 270 1584 3509 2029 15
VCDI 0 0 0 0 299 3820 5859 6488


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