Description of algorithm
Full domain
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2021-06-03

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2021-05-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 75862 13818 220 1412 297 97 31 0
OW 52 633 99 1024 553 53 16 0
VODI 0 386 53 1058 1519 172 42 0
ODI 0 281 48 854 1866 528 110 0
CDI 0 454 74 995 4355 5532 1165 11
VCDI 0 80 10 300 1633 13841 32324 25190
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-05-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 75937 14105 238 1546 275 90 42 0
OW 50 543 64 1203 623 54 26 0
VODI 0 452 69 1130 1346 276 59 0
ODI 0 354 39 1016 1552 627 161 0
CDI 0 568 78 1061 4402 6126 1451 0
VCDI 0 175 10 282 1970 15597 29797 23654
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-06-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 76085 15265 313 1637 326 93 10 0
OW 50 527 96 1472 509 49 11 0
VODI 0 258 41 1663 1485 180 22 0
ODI 0 328 26 777 2377 745 74 0
CDI 0 204 31 543 4231 7576 1295 0
VCDI 0 179 15 156 1498 11716 27261 27924
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-06-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 77032 15011 326 1893 347 59 23 0
OW 50 550 108 1618 643 65 18 0
VODI 0 313 33 1421 1540 189 45 0
ODI 0 327 35 747 2382 940 112 5
CDI 0 190 20 539 4804 6556 2172 44
VCDI 0 176 17 204 1636 10660 32547 21651
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 77032 15144 354 2146 449 70 25 0
OW 50 449 82 1305 627 57 23 0
VODI 0 284 29 1468 1527 215 43 0
ODI 0 322 37 733 2329 946 113 5
CDI 0 192 20 548 4689 6243 2154 47
VCDI 0 176 17 222 1731 10938 32559 21648

Date: 2021-06-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 76955 15715 370 2193 454 59 22 0
OW 34 553 76 1623 742 84 15 0
VODI 0 461 59 1083 1494 277 42 0
ODI 0 338 40 754 2143 1271 157 6
CDI 0 228 24 672 5473 5597 3083 62
VCDI 0 163 13 232 2121 9996 32535 19829
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 76955 15829 376 2324 599 68 22 0
OW 34 482 81 1360 687 93 20 0
VODI 0 429 45 1214 1417 363 41 0
ODI 0 330 45 748 2148 1190 149 7
CDI 0 228 23 656 5324 5545 3211 63
VCDI 0 160 12 255 2252 10025 32411 19827

Date: 2021-06-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 77573 16201 358 2086 451 65 2 0
OW 31 638 125 1479 458 48 4 0
VODI 0 381 53 1699 1555 98 7 0
ODI 0 176 24 581 4321 674 23 7
CDI 0 121 12 384 4866 8356 1111 10
VCDI 0 108 10 141 1586 11529 35273 14423
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 77573 15725 379 2568 788 111 5 0
OW 31 578 67 1237 805 125 1 0
VODI 0 547 59 949 1483 510 19 4
ODI 0 410 34 688 2291 1127 188 5
CDI 0 222 28 693 5370 6944 3341 36
VCDI 0 143 15 235 2500 11953 32866 14395

Date: 2021-06-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 79143 15907 363 2198 479 64 6 0
OW 29 809 131 1613 603 75 10 0
VODI 0 417 45 1229 1954 225 17 6
ODI 0 211 35 636 3687 1470 68 2
CDI 0 187 18 406 3662 7738 2146 13
VCDI 0 113 10 222 1908 9860 26394 22939
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 79143 15098 350 2604 850 110 15 0
OW 29 811 79 964 781 182 14 1
VODI 0 706 68 924 1434 719 96 5
ODI 0 491 42 690 2321 999 232 6
CDI 0 414 47 863 4799 7402 4264 19
VCDI 0 124 16 259 2108 10020 24020 22929

Date: 2021-06-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 80033 16606 384 1892 512 69 7 0
OW 26 863 158 1485 767 72 12 0
VODI 0 439 51 1156 1993 381 59 6
ODI 0 240 38 709 3233 1772 108 4
CDI 0 314 30 413 3024 7858 3092 16
VCDI 0 38 5 159 1487 10010 22726 24801
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 80031 15600 373 2240 980 114 12 1
OW 28 916 82 753 736 292 22 4
VODI 0 839 81 959 1480 701 101 4
ODI 0 568 58 802 2273 1059 219 10
CDI 0 482 60 882 4111 8289 5188 15
VCDI 0 95 12 178 1436 9707 20462 24793


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