Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2021-05-27

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2021-05-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 222 4 94 0 0 0 0
OW 0 15 3 178 39 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 1 193 226 3 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 104 420 31 23 9
CDI 0 0 0 217 964 823 270 53
VCDI 0 20 7 121 668 3972 10822 12580
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-05-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 234 5 101 0 0 0 0
OW 0 40 3 178 27 0 0 0
VODI 0 17 11 230 192 4 0 0
ODI 0 1 1 144 303 64 7 1
CDI 0 101 17 215 854 1405 307 58
VCDI 0 29 11 194 948 3697 9048 13635
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-05-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 202 2 124 0 0 0 0
OW 0 70 11 200 84 4 1 0
VODI 0 26 5 299 340 10 14 0
ODI 0 59 5 183 558 127 44 0
CDI 0 256 40 453 1242 2150 231 66
VCDI 0 0 0 6 254 4929 13135 6952
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-05-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 225 20 158 28 0 0 0
OW 0 158 20 243 135 7 4 0
VODI 0 76 12 259 339 55 11 0
ODI 0 127 12 165 557 173 44 0
CDI 0 331 50 389 1465 2471 261 7
VCDI 0 0 0 20 239 4392 10247 9382
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 248 19 154 62 2 0 0
OW 0 134 16 230 140 4 6 0
VODI 0 77 17 282 335 69 8 0
ODI 0 118 14 163 508 194 41 0
CDI 0 340 48 389 1471 2599 254 8
VCDI 0 0 0 16 247 4230 10258 9381

Date: 2021-05-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 417 11 129 17 0 0 0
OW 0 138 15 266 129 4 0 0
VODI 0 137 27 230 374 33 14 0
ODI 0 161 18 289 459 202 76 0
CDI 0 343 49 530 1540 2699 715 9
VCDI 0 4 2 47 640 5471 10371 6516
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 372 12 162 44 1 0 0
OW 0 163 10 210 142 3 0 0
VODI 0 133 29 240 368 47 7 0
ODI 0 159 20 301 428 214 62 0
CDI 0 369 49 530 1520 2692 719 12
VCDI 0 4 2 48 657 5452 10388 6513

Date: 2021-05-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 805 31 145 11 0 0 0
OW 0 203 37 325 82 0 0 0
VODI 0 128 28 584 285 30 0 0
ODI 0 244 16 321 732 206 8 0
CDI 0 153 30 355 1493 3375 313 0
VCDI 0 3 1 61 737 5021 9887 6432
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 444 14 197 51 1 0 0
OW 0 168 20 225 147 12 0 0
VODI 0 190 33 302 330 74 1 0
ODI 0 182 20 332 393 299 47 0
CDI 0 547 54 642 1481 2820 531 0
VCDI 0 5 2 93 938 5426 9629 6432

Date: 2021-06-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 991 54 192 20 0 0 0
OW 0 257 39 427 134 5 0 0
VODI 0 159 19 421 408 40 0 0
ODI 0 277 24 306 675 470 22 0
CDI 0 146 21 262 1493 3281 601 0
VCDI 0 17 4 17 596 3679 8738 8287
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 543 36 187 74 10 0 0
OW 0 209 18 217 134 12 0 0
VODI 0 251 25 354 350 80 3 0
ODI 0 221 24 304 403 552 28 0
CDI 0 590 54 542 1622 2976 896 0
VCDI 0 33 4 21 743 3845 8434 8287

Date: 2021-06-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1230 40 206 40 1 0 0
OW 0 265 44 421 200 0 0 0
VODI 0 197 20 361 461 56 0 0
ODI 0 243 20 354 650 788 25 6
CDI 0 146 23 247 2331 2230 905 47
VCDI 0 14 2 25 972 3833 9596 6083
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 664 22 173 122 4 0 0
OW 0 252 16 216 157 33 0 0
VODI 0 344 38 293 350 157 6 1
ODI 0 228 21 348 643 681 55 16
CDI 0 576 50 553 1892 1965 1448 127
VCDI 0 31 2 31 1490 4068 9017 5992


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