Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2021-05-20

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2021-05-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 259 4 24 8 0 0 0
OW 0 21 3 54 85 1 0 0
VODI 0 19 2 92 228 19 0 0
ODI 0 14 5 106 290 130 14 0
CDI 0 8 4 160 455 548 277 8
VCDI 0 0 0 97 731 3744 9789 14883
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-05-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 161 6 68 8 0 0 0
OW 0 7 1 49 152 0 0 0
VODI 0 7 1 131 249 32 0 0
ODI 0 0 1 103 220 136 20 0
CDI 0 0 0 201 425 555 569 59
VCDI 0 0 0 76 1091 4123 11264 12367
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-05-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 139 5 99 9 0 0 0
OW 0 9 3 172 61 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 142 259 9 2 1
ODI 0 0 0 71 405 57 23 25
CDI 0 5 3 212 802 811 305 52
VCDI 0 2 5 75 493 3634 11365 12827
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-05-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 185 4 120 1 0 0 0
OW 0 6 4 183 57 0 0 0
VODI 0 2 2 137 226 6 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 66 464 40 29 17
CDI 0 0 0 185 864 912 259 49
VCDI 0 20 7 96 611 3789 11104 12637
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 169 3 124 10 0 0 0
OW 0 23 5 159 72 1 0 0
VODI 0 1 2 154 230 10 1 2
ODI 0 0 0 67 449 51 31 22
CDI 0 0 0 185 828 969 306 48
VCDI 0 20 7 98 634 3716 11054 12631

Date: 2021-05-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 254 4 78 2 0 0 0
OW 0 35 8 143 63 0 0 0
VODI 0 11 6 200 210 5 0 0
ODI 0 1 1 126 350 51 16 4
CDI 0 22 5 233 850 1156 393 56
VCDI 0 21 7 142 714 3688 9474 13753
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 204 4 103 13 0 0 0
OW 0 78 8 122 65 0 0 0
VODI 0 18 6 189 228 8 0 0
ODI 0 0 1 127 334 70 23 8
CDI 0 23 5 232 824 1184 447 57
VCDI 0 21 7 149 725 3638 9413 13748

Date: 2021-05-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 201 6 96 0 0 0 0
OW 0 47 10 174 29 1 0 0
VODI 0 5 3 336 282 19 3 0
ODI 0 34 3 113 659 104 17 0
CDI 0 205 28 403 1280 2155 133 40
VCDI 0 0 1 0 276 4645 9599 11175
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 177 4 140 10 0 0 0
OW 0 49 7 136 43 1 0 0
VODI 0 22 7 232 274 13 4 0
ODI 0 15 4 141 396 123 21 2
CDI 0 176 11 223 868 1460 279 108
VCDI 0 53 18 250 935 5327 9448 11105

Date: 2021-05-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 209 10 124 6 0 0 0
OW 0 110 17 273 92 8 0 0
VODI 0 39 10 328 321 28 13 0
ODI 0 81 6 195 553 124 47 0
CDI 0 277 41 418 1389 2195 295 11
VCDI 0 0 0 10 257 5014 12303 7278
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 191 7 160 23 2 0 0
OW 0 79 10 157 98 0 0 0
VODI 0 93 15 274 273 33 5 0
ODI 0 74 8 201 394 103 88 5
CDI 0 253 35 406 1066 1458 530 12
VCDI 0 26 9 150 764 5773 12035 7272

Date: 2021-05-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 332 16 159 7 0 0 0
OW 0 169 23 261 114 7 0 0
VODI 0 131 23 237 347 28 14 0
ODI 0 155 19 275 452 182 44 0
CDI 0 334 51 521 1556 2610 501 11
VCDI 0 0 0 42 580 4526 9527 8828
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 277 10 177 39 2 0 0
OW 0 101 10 118 119 6 7 0
VODI 0 145 17 200 233 41 24 0
ODI 0 126 22 203 387 115 62 0
CDI 0 395 53 538 1159 1535 392 7
VCDI 0 77 20 259 1119 5654 9601 8832


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