Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2021-05-06

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2021-04-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 57 5 15 0 0 0 0
OW 0 11 2 75 19 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 3 51 131 1 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 20 95 46 30 0
CDI 0 0 0 1 203 640 340 4
VCDI 0 0 0 0 166 1597 10601 17969
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-05-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 47 4 7 0 0 0 0
OW 0 55 5 34 7 0 0 0
VODI 0 39 4 72 122 2 0 0
ODI 0 8 6 33 92 33 4 0
CDI 0 0 1 32 232 291 156 6
VCDI 0 0 0 55 217 2290 10021 18207
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-05-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 126 7 9 0 0 0 0
OW 0 53 4 48 1 0 0 0
VODI 0 53 13 67 62 11 0 0
ODI 0 6 1 31 150 66 8 0
CDI 0 5 4 32 269 465 87 78
VCDI 0 0 0 45 190 2491 10459 17241
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-05-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 99 7 10 0 0 0 0
OW 0 93 6 24 4 0 0 0
VODI 0 59 12 47 105 1 0 0
ODI 0 0 1 32 190 47 8 0
CDI 0 0 0 35 358 359 140 8
VCDI 0 0 0 15 198 1859 9827 18538
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 105 7 9 0 0 0 0
OW 0 70 6 21 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 76 12 45 81 1 0 0
ODI 0 0 1 38 180 44 9 0
CDI 0 0 0 35 391 386 136 3
VCDI 0 0 0 15 203 1835 9830 18543

Date: 2021-05-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 126 0 3 0 0 0 0
OW 0 142 3 43 14 0 0 0
VODI 0 23 8 101 60 12 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 79 157 30 14 0
CDI 0 0 0 57 368 278 264 3
VCDI 0 0 0 14 383 1941 8363 19596
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 128 0 4 0 0 0 0
OW 0 95 2 42 10 0 0 0
VODI 0 68 8 87 50 11 0 0
ODI 0 0 1 94 136 31 9 0
CDI 0 0 0 62 411 276 283 2
VCDI 0 0 0 8 375 1943 8349 19597

Date: 2021-05-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 350 1 1 0 0 0 0
OW 0 25 5 60 24 0 0 0
VODI 0 19 3 184 96 7 0 0
ODI 0 12 3 65 279 33 0 0
CDI 0 1 4 51 520 347 61 7
VCDI 0 0 0 1 221 2843 10402 16457
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 189 0 15 6 0 0 0
OW 0 81 2 49 24 0 0 0
VODI 0 85 5 105 55 7 0 0
ODI 0 30 2 89 172 26 4 0
CDI 0 21 4 64 459 218 223 19
VCDI 0 1 3 40 424 2979 10236 16445

Date: 2021-05-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 346 0 19 5 0 0 0
OW 0 52 1 47 70 1 0 0
VODI 0 42 5 58 209 14 0 0
ODI 0 15 5 53 261 117 18 0
CDI 0 13 3 66 609 483 155 4
VCDI 0 0 0 71 603 3691 7793 17253
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 292 1 11 17 0 0 0
OW 0 84 2 39 52 0 0 0
VODI 0 42 3 61 143 9 0 0
ODI 0 29 4 57 281 56 11 0
CDI 0 16 3 34 568 302 166 24
VCDI 0 5 1 112 696 3939 7789 17233

Date: 2021-05-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 259 4 24 8 0 0 0
OW 0 21 3 54 85 1 0 0
VODI 0 19 2 92 228 19 0 0
ODI 0 14 5 106 290 130 14 0
CDI 0 8 4 160 455 548 277 8
VCDI 0 0 0 97 731 3744 9789 14883
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 235 5 19 22 0 0 0
OW 0 45 3 53 69 0 0 0
VODI 0 22 2 75 146 9 0 0
ODI 0 15 5 62 328 52 9 0
CDI 0 0 0 120 468 591 356 19
VCDI 0 4 3 204 764 3790 9715 14872


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