Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2021-04-29

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2021-04-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 72687 14101 175 982 307 42 0 0
OW 71 355 73 519 325 32 0 0
VODI 0 75 24 349 626 98 2 0
ODI 0 33 4 142 539 219 17 0
CDI 0 9 0 79 610 1204 626 0
VCDI 0 0 0 6 373 2083 6019 6294
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-04-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 71681 14851 196 1087 445 61 0 0
OW 71 394 68 580 380 49 0 0
VODI 0 64 16 329 622 104 0 0
ODI 0 28 1 96 586 231 30 0
CDI 0 3 1 71 582 1425 708 0
VCDI 0 0 0 7 176 2132 5816 6209
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-04-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 71954 14536 196 1052 389 57 0 0
OW 71 162 68 647 340 40 0 0
VODI 0 19 9 431 729 64 0 0
ODI 0 5 1 114 688 267 11 0
CDI 0 0 0 34 724 1310 251 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 157 2601 6665 5508
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-04-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 71719 14703 196 1002 598 114 0 0
OW 71 215 71 517 442 57 0 0
VODI 0 36 15 405 606 102 3 0
ODI 0 3 3 130 575 276 36 0
CDI 0 0 0 36 693 1389 400 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 173 2826 6071 5617
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 71719 14754 206 1123 762 120 0 0
OW 71 163 62 471 383 62 0 0
VODI 0 36 15 353 569 103 4 0
ODI 0 4 2 110 553 284 35 0
CDI 0 0 0 33 640 1398 411 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 180 2797 6060 5617

Date: 2021-05-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 71881 14988 163 935 451 108 0 0
OW 70 318 86 624 257 59 3 0
VODI 0 64 27 433 492 72 40 0
ODI 0 5 6 185 556 184 66 0
CDI 0 0 0 57 687 1397 590 0
VCDI 0 0 0 12 312 2122 5660 6190
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 71881 15103 190 1210 529 106 0 0
OW 70 218 64 444 263 69 3 0
VODI 0 52 23 367 492 81 43 0
ODI 0 2 5 169 503 199 56 0
CDI 0 0 0 46 662 1327 589 0
VCDI 0 0 0 10 306 2160 5668 6190

Date: 2021-05-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 72352 15161 165 682 258 107 6 0
OW 67 354 91 617 139 27 15 0
VODI 0 57 30 566 431 41 29 0
ODI 0 0 1 160 772 109 39 0
CDI 0 0 0 26 763 1551 369 0
VCDI 0 0 0 16 241 2037 6017 5804
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 72352 15193 193 999 387 119 17 0
OW 67 283 58 409 198 38 23 0
VODI 0 89 28 389 429 76 63 0
ODI 0 7 8 167 481 162 60 0
CDI 0 0 0 63 710 1273 590 0
VCDI 0 0 0 40 399 2204 5722 5804

Date: 2021-05-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 72398 15125 197 937 294 94 2 0
OW 65 222 47 527 268 32 14 0
VODI 0 44 31 336 567 60 21 0
ODI 0 0 1 176 607 184 36 0
CDI 0 4 0 41 833 1473 283 0
VCDI 0 0 0 25 238 2010 5954 5954
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 72397 15019 191 1059 427 115 12 0
OW 66 267 37 349 349 41 21 0
VODI 0 96 41 304 474 121 51 0
ODI 0 9 7 199 428 197 58 0
CDI 0 0 0 77 778 1357 498 0
VCDI 0 4 0 54 351 2022 5670 5954

Date: 2021-05-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 72454 15059 183 918 318 91 20 0
OW 65 241 41 567 276 33 25 0
VODI 0 73 18 299 565 69 41 0
ODI 0 7 4 153 512 196 66 0
CDI 0 2 0 35 683 1682 782 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 133 1424 5387 6678
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 72454 14943 178 1161 429 110 40 0
OW 65 283 40 309 369 54 36 0
VODI 0 129 17 273 459 145 73 0
ODI 0 21 11 171 354 238 84 0
CDI 0 6 0 55 644 1329 698 0
VCDI 0 0 0 3 232 1619 5390 6678


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