Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2021-04-29

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2021-04-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 118 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 66 10 35 1 0 0 0
VODI 0 48 6 87 75 6 0 0
ODI 0 27 4 25 120 14 17 0
CDI 0 15 3 37 221 250 199 49
VCDI 0 54 8 92 340 2424 9998 17733
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-04-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 85 2 3 0 0 0 0
OW 0 48 7 16 4 0 0 0
VODI 0 75 4 78 63 2 0 0
ODI 0 19 7 30 143 23 4 0
CDI 0 7 1 38 227 329 109 18
VCDI 0 25 10 77 228 1465 10028 18907
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-04-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 100 6 4 0 0 0 0
OW 0 28 9 75 2 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 2 73 75 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 20 163 39 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 7 261 739 240 9
VCDI 0 0 0 26 142 1731 9290 19040
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-04-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 49 5 23 0 0 0 0
OW 0 5 3 41 61 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 1 29 131 2 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 6 118 53 5 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 119 567 441 30
VCDI 0 0 0 0 171 1307 9922 18993
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 48 5 25 7 0 0 0
OW 0 6 3 44 65 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 1 25 127 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 5 109 40 3 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 123 519 450 29
VCDI 0 0 0 0 169 1370 9915 18994

Date: 2021-05-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 58 5 8 0 0 0 0
OW 0 22 5 75 7 0 0 0
VODI 0 4 4 75 111 2 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 14 92 57 13 0
CDI 0 0 0 2 160 637 325 14
VCDI 0 0 0 0 234 1568 9822 18768
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 69 8 10 0 0 0 0
OW 0 13 3 89 4 0 0 0
VODI 0 2 3 58 109 2 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 15 77 42 4 0
CDI 0 0 0 2 180 551 219 14
VCDI 0 0 0 0 234 1669 9937 18768

Date: 2021-05-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 86 5 7 0 0 0 0
OW 0 77 7 54 3 0 0 0
VODI 0 10 11 124 63 3 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 31 185 50 2 0
CDI 0 0 0 27 269 472 103 0
VCDI 0 0 0 40 178 2257 9679 18339
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 60 2 0 1 0 0 0
OW 0 46 9 33 2 0 0 0
VODI 0 43 2 125 58 3 0 0
ODI 0 18 4 18 116 45 4 0
CDI 0 6 6 29 276 264 157 5
VCDI 0 0 0 78 245 2470 9623 18334

Date: 2021-05-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 114 4 14 0 0 0 0
OW 0 74 5 33 2 0 0 0
VODI 0 77 13 35 71 6 0 0
ODI 0 3 4 33 156 61 8 0
CDI 0 0 0 33 380 377 112 15
VCDI 0 0 0 31 148 2068 9951 18254
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 62 1 1 0 0 0 0
OW 0 61 5 22 14 3 0 0
VODI 0 96 9 43 64 8 0 0
ODI 0 30 1 13 121 69 10 16
CDI 0 16 8 37 281 209 184 64
VCDI 0 3 2 63 277 2223 9877 18189

Date: 2021-05-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 103 4 10 0 0 0 0
OW 0 120 7 34 11 0 0 0
VODI 0 32 6 88 78 7 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 77 149 50 3 0
CDI 0 0 0 40 358 321 172 5
VCDI 0 0 0 18 288 2019 8679 19403
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 71 2 2 0 0 0 0
OW 0 80 4 23 14 0 0 0
VODI 0 85 5 42 66 5 0 0
ODI 0 19 6 61 111 41 17 0
CDI 0 0 0 80 252 183 321 41
VCDI 0 0 0 59 441 2168 8516 19367


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