Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2021-04-22

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2021-04-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 28 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 31 6 0 0 0
VODI 0 6 4 38 34 0 0 0
ODI 0 13 2 52 91 21 43 0
CDI 0 3 1 64 147 259 368 71
VCDI 0 30 11 144 232 1230 9081 20072
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-04-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 22 2 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 22 6 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 25 34 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 23 48 42 1 7
CDI 0 0 0 30 84 241 122 122
VCDI 0 0 0 70 270 911 7693 22307
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-04-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 64 5 9 0 0 0 0
OW 0 40 5 33 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 15 1 54 30 0 0 0
ODI 0 8 1 36 124 15 2 0
CDI 0 0 0 44 140 252 94 38
VCDI 0 0 0 112 190 847 9881 20042
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-04-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 126 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 57 10 21 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 45 6 90 45 0 0 0
ODI 0 30 3 31 125 20 31 0
CDI 0 15 3 40 161 267 138 3
VCDI 0 45 6 96 257 1748 10123 18540
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 142 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 51 10 24 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 41 7 93 50 0 7 0
ODI 0 26 2 27 115 15 39 0
CDI 0 18 3 48 181 275 144 2
VCDI 0 40 6 86 242 1745 10102 18541

Date: 2021-04-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 87 0 1 0 0 0 0
OW 0 77 8 28 2 0 0 0
VODI 0 56 7 92 66 7 0 0
ODI 0 19 5 28 105 25 12 3
CDI 0 9 2 32 205 306 133 50
VCDI 0 27 4 82 325 1594 11129 17556
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 95 0 2 0 0 0 0
OW 0 75 7 29 7 0 0 0
VODI 0 50 9 88 61 7 0 0
ODI 0 20 4 27 102 21 10 3
CDI 0 9 2 39 237 306 167 52
VCDI 0 26 4 78 296 1598 11097 17554

Date: 2021-04-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 100 1 5 0 0 0 0
OW 0 86 11 18 8 0 0 0
VODI 0 9 11 101 70 1 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 40 206 18 5 0
CDI 0 2 2 20 275 559 191 0
VCDI 0 3 5 61 150 1397 9796 18931
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 93 1 5 0 0 0 0
OW 0 58 8 15 14 0 0 0
VODI 0 44 10 39 54 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 4 64 107 6 3 0
CDI 0 0 0 36 326 425 191 13
VCDI 0 5 7 86 208 1544 9798 18918

Date: 2021-04-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 66 4 18 0 0 0 0
OW 0 7 7 96 6 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 51 90 3 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 8 131 45 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 172 626 442 8
VCDI 0 0 0 3 127 1398 8770 20003
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 63 2 12 0 0 0 0
OW 0 10 8 45 18 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 1 79 46 6 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 31 44 46 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 6 225 461 205 76
VCDI 0 0 0 3 193 1559 9008 19935

Date: 2021-04-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 57 5 15 0 0 0 0
OW 0 11 2 75 19 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 3 51 131 1 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 20 95 46 30 0
CDI 0 0 0 1 203 640 340 4
VCDI 0 0 0 0 166 1597 10601 17969
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 42 3 9 0 0 0 0
OW 0 13 2 41 9 0 0 0
VODI 0 13 2 50 60 0 2 0
ODI 0 0 3 34 31 36 55 16
CDI 0 0 0 20 174 264 266 140
VCDI 0 0 0 8 340 1984 10648 17817


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