Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2021-04-15

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2021-04-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 69406 15172 187 900 295 12 0 0
OW 60 634 34 397 350 11 0 0
VODI 0 494 27 282 664 20 0 0
ODI 0 275 24 182 557 205 2 0
CDI 0 206 12 178 511 1236 135 0
VCDI 0 401 61 527 985 3423 5529 5706
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-04-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70384 14789 157 754 288 39 0 0
OW 74 727 45 416 318 6 0 0
VODI 0 556 32 319 614 48 0 0
ODI 0 280 22 194 470 184 0 0
CDI 0 225 18 193 635 1207 167 0
VCDI 0 405 40 415 847 3432 5447 5353
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-04-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70358 15619 194 949 292 15 0 0
OW 71 384 52 503 366 19 0 0
VODI 0 202 36 394 629 46 1 0
ODI 0 53 16 246 551 318 3 0
CDI 0 22 8 196 700 2011 397 0
VCDI 0 61 14 254 815 2805 4658 5842
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-04-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 69948 15484 210 1199 340 22 0 0
OW 73 327 64 603 345 26 0 0
VODI 0 163 15 425 793 33 4 0
ODI 0 47 12 171 645 189 18 0
CDI 0 11 4 169 662 888 121 0
VCDI 0 0 0 71 1225 3307 5580 5906
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 69948 15496 213 1274 385 28 0 0
OW 73 303 60 528 342 16 0 0
VODI 0 165 19 429 707 50 4 0
ODI 0 54 7 164 634 166 16 0
CDI 0 14 6 144 688 781 111 0
VCDI 0 0 0 99 1254 3424 5592 5906

Date: 2021-04-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70553 14910 186 1024 400 33 0 0
OW 73 401 63 516 408 35 0 0
VODI 0 204 33 437 619 104 6 0
ODI 0 72 14 150 518 222 32 0
CDI 0 47 3 147 670 584 181 0
VCDI 0 18 2 137 1012 3147 5907 6232
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70553 14964 191 1150 486 41 0 0
OW 73 330 54 437 371 27 0 0
VODI 0 206 39 390 585 90 5 0
ODI 0 76 10 138 448 210 30 0
CDI 0 45 5 152 720 575 178 0
VCDI 0 31 2 144 1017 3182 5913 6232

Date: 2021-04-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 71638 14912 174 858 229 5 0 0
OW 71 332 89 734 201 12 0 0
VODI 0 76 22 491 643 32 0 0
ODI 0 31 5 147 778 209 0 0
CDI 0 23 2 97 690 837 117 0
VCDI 0 0 0 55 548 3265 5668 6109
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 71636 14411 171 1146 392 19 0 0
OW 73 459 49 334 309 12 0 0
VODI 0 314 42 314 483 69 0 0
ODI 0 83 17 213 414 182 10 0
CDI 0 61 9 184 630 684 188 0
VCDI 0 46 4 191 861 3394 5587 6109

Date: 2021-04-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 72432 14539 197 934 280 21 0 0
OW 71 235 69 538 343 15 0 0
VODI 0 86 12 312 612 108 1 0
ODI 0 33 7 125 484 295 26 0
CDI 0 28 3 127 568 945 374 0
VCDI 0 0 0 41 556 2295 6153 6235
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 72432 13974 169 963 430 29 0 0
OW 71 468 58 298 319 39 0 0
VODI 0 304 37 288 400 170 13 0
ODI 0 85 11 216 350 204 42 0
CDI 0 77 12 178 612 766 404 0
VCDI 0 13 1 134 732 2471 6095 6235

Date: 2021-04-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 72687 14101 175 982 307 42 0 0
OW 71 355 73 519 325 32 0 0
VODI 0 75 24 349 626 98 2 0
ODI 0 33 4 142 539 219 17 0
CDI 0 9 0 79 610 1204 626 0
VCDI 0 0 0 6 373 2083 6019 6294
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 72687 13659 154 876 446 66 0 0
OW 71 552 67 333 273 68 2 0
VODI 0 236 38 421 380 123 22 0
ODI 0 90 13 254 429 183 50 0
CDI 0 36 4 170 809 964 614 0
VCDI 0 0 0 23 443 2274 5976 6294


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