Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2021-04-15

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2021-04-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 29 2 23 0 0 0 0
OW 0 18 0 14 6 0 0 0
VODI 0 36 4 24 27 0 0 0
ODI 0 66 10 63 45 24 0 0
CDI 0 37 5 62 112 109 17 0
VCDI 0 72 15 230 312 821 6668 23231
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-04-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 47 4 33 0 0 0 0
OW 0 54 1 26 9 0 0 0
VODI 0 167 4 29 82 8 0 0
ODI 0 84 7 46 85 50 16 0
CDI 0 77 1 45 167 180 108 40
VCDI 0 247 22 129 385 1192 9633 19104
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-04-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 54 4 21 2 0 0 0
OW 0 79 3 30 10 0 0 0
VODI 0 161 1 46 93 4 1 0
ODI 0 68 2 43 229 46 40 23
CDI 0 57 6 20 273 276 190 115
VCDI 0 142 17 103 331 1925 9838 17829
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-04-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 27 3 5 0 0 0 0
OW 0 9 1 31 5 0 0 0
VODI 0 41 5 39 41 0 7 0
ODI 0 41 6 55 135 66 69 0
CDI 0 38 2 42 126 359 350 90
VCDI 0 65 11 107 230 1459 10114 18503
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 27 3 8 1 0 0 0
OW 0 9 2 27 9 0 0 0
VODI 0 38 4 43 41 0 2 0
ODI 0 51 6 53 137 51 67 0
CDI 0 44 2 48 118 357 329 96
VCDI 0 52 11 100 231 1476 10142 18497

Date: 2021-04-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 21 2 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 25 6 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 30 34 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 34 66 34 2 0
CDI 0 0 0 37 122 234 131 134
VCDI 0 0 0 120 252 920 8539 21339
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 18 1 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 24 5 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 31 30 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 31 64 38 3 0
CDI 0 0 0 45 144 210 165 158
VCDI 0 0 0 118 238 940 8504 21315

Date: 2021-04-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 27 4 9 0 0 0 0
OW 0 11 4 57 3 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 1 70 36 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 25 141 6 4 3
CDI 0 0 0 21 142 248 70 105
VCDI 0 0 0 75 199 936 9328 20557
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 17 3 5 0 0 0 0
OW 0 17 3 14 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 4 3 41 8 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 34 41 1 19 44
CDI 0 0 0 54 169 192 157 197
VCDI 0 0 0 109 303 997 9226 20424

Date: 2021-04-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 104 2 1 0 0 0 0
OW 0 53 8 25 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 42 4 47 37 0 0 0
ODI 0 22 3 17 153 16 19 0
CDI 0 12 3 37 147 318 119 15
VCDI 0 29 8 115 205 1678 10101 18742
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 48 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 47 1 4 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 41 8 24 6 0 0 0
ODI 0 30 2 48 51 17 4 1
CDI 0 54 5 41 227 233 198 71
VCDI 0 42 12 125 258 1762 10037 18685

Date: 2021-04-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 118 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 66 10 35 1 0 0 0
VODI 0 48 6 87 75 6 0 0
ODI 0 27 4 25 120 14 17 0
CDI 0 15 3 37 221 250 199 49
VCDI 0 54 8 92 340 2424 9998 17733
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 56 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 49 0 5 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 48 12 36 7 0 0 0
ODI 0 35 2 72 61 30 27 3
CDI 0 53 4 53 335 244 230 29
VCDI 0 87 13 110 354 2420 9957 17750


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