Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2021-04-08

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2021-04-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68195 14831 166 666 329 17 0 0
OW 52 606 61 482 267 14 0 0
VODI 0 349 33 570 564 103 0 0
ODI 0 155 23 291 706 218 0 0
CDI 0 126 19 223 827 1365 125 0
VCDI 0 74 17 303 1321 3051 7592 5359
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-04-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68651 14387 140 645 292 13 0 0
OW 56 763 61 397 251 34 0 0
VODI 0 465 47 578 486 113 1 0
ODI 0 307 10 290 569 158 10 0
CDI 0 217 15 155 708 934 91 0
VCDI 0 198 38 631 1515 3473 6373 6028
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-04-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68752 15181 174 799 270 11 0 0
OW 61 628 56 526 255 15 0 0
VODI 0 432 38 361 568 105 0 0
ODI 0 191 13 204 635 262 4 0
CDI 0 127 18 244 585 1103 103 0
VCDI 0 28 14 244 1009 3245 6923 5916
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-04-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 69370 15113 174 928 224 9 0 0
OW 60 658 41 371 272 9 0 0
VODI 0 448 36 318 604 58 0 0
ODI 0 250 25 186 553 169 0 0
CDI 0 174 19 216 537 1046 69 0
VCDI 0 278 56 572 1079 3758 5548 5872
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 69370 15183 181 968 248 9 0 0
OW 60 578 37 347 270 6 0 0
VODI 0 461 37 310 601 67 0 0
ODI 0 251 20 190 543 183 0 0
CDI 0 161 25 200 537 1010 65 0
VCDI 0 287 51 576 1070 3774 5552 5872

Date: 2021-04-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 69967 14884 164 807 290 18 0 0
OW 59 680 45 407 354 14 0 0
VODI 0 531 23 323 696 29 0 0
ODI 0 318 18 155 494 214 0 0
CDI 0 230 11 147 502 1123 260 0
VCDI 0 427 54 480 851 2863 6051 5611
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 69952 15002 169 891 340 17 0 0
OW 74 598 41 366 336 16 0 0
VODI 0 509 27 304 682 37 0 0
ODI 0 295 15 149 503 212 0 0
CDI 0 237 12 135 483 1105 277 0
VCDI 0 429 51 474 843 2874 6034 5611

Date: 2021-04-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70465 15560 158 628 257 13 0 0
OW 71 544 73 569 269 17 0 0
VODI 0 277 38 467 643 29 0 0
ODI 0 124 22 252 735 213 0 0
CDI 0 79 6 159 713 2046 492 0
VCDI 0 221 18 194 560 2759 4851 5578
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70463 14947 158 842 392 27 0 0
OW 73 620 47 336 341 9 0 0
VODI 0 477 42 307 576 73 0 0
ODI 0 234 15 209 380 257 3 0
CDI 0 188 22 189 572 1418 294 0
VCDI 0 339 31 386 916 3293 5046 5578

Date: 2021-04-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70188 15521 198 1117 295 17 0 0
OW 71 390 56 536 359 24 0 0
VODI 0 153 29 452 702 47 2 0
ODI 0 29 16 206 610 243 22 0
CDI 0 4 2 154 716 1514 178 0
VCDI 0 6 3 129 1105 2843 5404 5759
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70186 14664 159 983 446 28 0 0
OW 73 612 43 325 337 26 1 0
VODI 0 486 33 378 577 93 4 0
ODI 0 186 37 303 392 247 17 0
CDI 0 103 14 264 616 1275 158 0
VCDI 0 52 18 341 1419 3019 5426 5759

Date: 2021-04-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70295 15088 189 1235 249 14 0 0
OW 73 395 62 577 355 24 0 0
VODI 0 181 35 525 662 58 1 0
ODI 0 59 8 177 585 180 19 0
CDI 0 29 8 144 603 633 169 0
VCDI 0 0 0 79 1080 3223 6003 6083
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70309 14551 158 1021 382 18 0 0
OW 59 501 55 394 329 36 1 0
VODI 0 322 49 468 503 132 5 0
ODI 0 175 14 316 386 215 30 0
CDI 0 116 17 263 564 417 115 0
VCDI 0 87 9 275 1370 3314 6041 6083


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