Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2021-04-08

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2021-04-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 11 1 32 5 0 0 0
OW 0 8 0 5 14 0 0 0
VODI 0 9 1 6 14 0 0 0
ODI 0 4 2 7 18 10 4 0
CDI 0 7 0 16 80 110 39 4
VCDI 0 4 3 106 316 645 6571 24030
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-04-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 11 2 29 1 0 0 0
OW 0 8 1 11 9 0 0 0
VODI 0 12 0 7 16 0 0 0
ODI 0 5 2 6 20 2 0 0
CDI 0 9 0 10 70 104 34 6
VCDI 0 16 4 114 320 520 7092 23641
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-04-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 11 2 30 4 0 0 0
OW 0 10 0 16 11 0 0 0
VODI 0 12 1 5 25 1 0 0
ODI 0 4 2 6 41 22 0 0
CDI 0 11 1 12 56 122 35 11
VCDI 0 10 0 75 285 321 4531 26409
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-04-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 28 3 14 0 0 0 0
OW 0 19 1 16 4 0 0 0
VODI 0 15 1 20 11 1 0 0
ODI 0 26 6 81 20 18 0 0
CDI 0 15 1 71 57 118 22 4
VCDI 0 42 8 251 220 627 5103 25259
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 32 3 13 0 0 0 0
OW 0 15 1 15 4 0 0 0
VODI 0 14 0 25 11 1 0 0
ODI 0 28 7 69 19 16 0 0
CDI 0 10 1 66 60 112 21 4
VCDI 0 46 8 265 218 635 5104 25259

Date: 2021-04-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 30 2 24 2 0 0 0
OW 0 27 2 17 11 0 0 0
VODI 0 156 2 7 42 3 0 0
ODI 0 86 9 19 67 34 2 0
CDI 0 81 3 28 141 114 54 13
VCDI 0 222 24 120 354 1060 7980 21346
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 32 2 27 2 0 0 0
OW 0 32 2 13 17 0 0 0
VODI 0 145 2 7 43 4 0 0
ODI 0 86 9 22 67 35 1 0
CDI 0 74 3 29 138 105 55 13
VCDI 0 233 24 117 350 1067 7980 21346

Date: 2021-04-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 72 4 27 0 0 0 0
OW 0 83 2 32 11 0 0 0
VODI 0 211 4 82 47 3 0 0
ODI 0 82 7 66 190 26 27 2
CDI 0 53 2 29 261 197 118 95
VCDI 0 171 19 102 318 1113 11662 16964
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 87 5 39 8 0 0 0
OW 0 97 1 21 34 1 0 0
VODI 0 86 10 70 93 13 0 0
ODI 0 76 1 47 151 46 39 7
CDI 0 82 0 37 185 228 160 81
VCDI 0 244 21 124 356 1051 11608 16973

Date: 2021-04-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 48 4 9 1 0 0 0
OW 0 30 3 23 15 0 0 0
VODI 0 104 4 39 57 8 9 0
ODI 0 77 1 25 205 80 55 4
CDI 0 61 4 30 178 332 304 150
VCDI 0 92 12 117 313 1780 10288 17620
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 32 2 7 26 0 0 0
OW 0 33 3 11 27 7 0 0
VODI 0 66 5 50 91 23 9 0
ODI 0 70 1 16 149 114 36 2
CDI 0 53 3 29 193 370 193 76
VCDI 0 158 14 130 283 1686 10418 17696

Date: 2021-04-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 28 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 31 6 0 0 0
VODI 0 6 4 38 34 0 0 0
ODI 0 13 2 52 91 21 43 0
CDI 0 3 1 64 147 259 368 71
VCDI 0 30 11 144 232 1230 9081 20072
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 21 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 20 11 0 0 0
VODI 0 1 1 37 36 13 1 0
ODI 0 4 2 21 52 57 52 10
CDI 0 12 2 19 100 222 371 86
VCDI 0 35 13 239 311 1218 9068 20047


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