Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2021-04-01

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2021-03-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68095 14905 153 709 250 11 0 0
OW 53 549 57 513 281 12 0 0
VODI 0 326 42 423 517 83 0 0
ODI 0 130 15 231 477 147 11 0
CDI 0 105 10 184 561 526 61 0
VCDI 0 58 17 306 1482 3652 7377 6771
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-03-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 69772 13784 129 469 191 2 0 0
OW 53 622 58 423 233 36 0 0
VODI 0 378 52 396 476 124 0 0
ODI 0 174 19 220 465 148 17 0
CDI 0 121 11 202 512 577 171 0
VCDI 0 205 21 368 1332 3117 7572 6650
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-03-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 69047 14784 132 513 162 14 0 0
OW 52 650 68 444 172 3 0 0
VODI 0 402 49 544 432 32 0 0
ODI 0 207 18 292 705 134 0 0
CDI 0 139 17 251 772 821 34 0
VCDI 0 132 16 363 1284 3177 7155 6083
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-04-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68488 14722 153 662 276 19 0 0
OW 52 667 39 438 239 7 0 0
VODI 0 434 43 519 553 50 0 0
ODI 0 182 18 292 744 207 0 0
CDI 0 143 17 297 831 1280 178 0
VCDI 0 77 15 396 1335 3047 7519 5161
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68488 15183 174 861 309 19 0 0
OW 52 465 40 522 297 4 0 0
VODI 0 266 33 449 799 55 0 0
ODI 0 133 11 244 601 251 1 0
CDI 0 121 17 224 780 1432 222 0
VCDI 0 57 10 304 1192 2849 7474 5161

Date: 2021-04-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68267 14650 149 676 314 15 0 0
OW 53 713 74 415 304 19 0 0
VODI 0 390 35 580 565 104 0 0
ODI 0 163 28 351 589 235 0 0
CDI 0 114 18 271 733 1284 106 0
VCDI 0 102 20 373 1350 3083 6927 6030
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68267 15125 190 925 393 15 0 0
OW 53 476 55 588 380 14 0 0
VODI 0 246 27 474 694 112 0 0
ODI 0 110 23 216 515 336 2 0
CDI 0 97 12 189 648 1376 176 0
VCDI 0 78 17 274 1225 2887 6855 6030

Date: 2021-04-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68895 14946 149 662 222 8 0 0
OW 61 794 63 492 241 14 0 0
VODI 0 418 49 633 593 75 2 0
ODI 0 153 16 249 691 231 9 0
CDI 0 58 14 291 713 1164 112 0
VCDI 0 41 10 218 1019 3127 7402 5265
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68895 14804 169 883 376 12 0 0
OW 61 646 66 520 292 42 0 0
VODI 0 351 17 363 557 135 7 0
ODI 0 201 16 137 510 277 28 0
CDI 0 137 7 166 535 1147 202 0
VCDI 0 271 26 476 1209 3006 7288 5265

Date: 2021-04-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68994 15127 179 920 240 14 0 0
OW 60 588 53 411 237 15 0 0
VODI 0 427 24 397 544 119 0 0
ODI 0 206 24 237 558 202 7 0
CDI 0 186 17 201 657 800 124 0
VCDI 0 45 29 454 1031 3522 6505 5946
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68993 14772 176 914 346 34 0 0
OW 61 629 59 474 245 47 0 0
VODI 0 456 25 350 564 121 0 0
ODI 0 271 13 172 510 275 42 0
CDI 0 207 20 172 513 850 142 0
VCDI 0 244 33 538 1089 3345 6452 5946

Date: 2021-04-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 69406 15172 187 900 295 12 0 0
OW 60 634 34 397 350 11 0 0
VODI 0 494 27 282 664 20 0 0
ODI 0 275 24 182 557 205 2 0
CDI 0 206 12 178 511 1236 135 0
VCDI 0 401 61 527 985 3423 5529 5706
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 69406 14720 178 890 395 20 0 0
OW 60 690 43 423 315 4 0 0
VODI 0 476 26 253 634 38 0 0
ODI 0 335 12 147 501 289 4 0
CDI 0 302 20 157 470 1043 120 0
VCDI 0 659 66 596 1047 3513 5542 5706


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