Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2021-04-01

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2021-03-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 33 5 2 0 0 0 0
OW 0 7 2 14 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 10 1 15 7 0 0 0
ODI 0 10 0 5 14 0 0 0
CDI 0 14 2 4 39 25 0 67
VCDI 0 13 2 70 248 307 2851 28315
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-03-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 31 6 2 0 0 0 0
OW 0 6 0 15 1 0 0 0
VODI 0 11 1 13 9 0 0 0
ODI 0 7 0 5 17 0 0 0
CDI 0 7 2 10 33 32 2 2
VCDI 0 0 1 24 139 283 2724 28699
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-03-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 33 4 14 1 0 0 0
OW 0 11 0 16 5 0 0 0
VODI 0 11 1 8 13 0 0 0
ODI 0 6 0 3 18 0 0 0
CDI 0 7 2 19 95 15 21 4
VCDI 0 4 4 33 266 306 3296 27866
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-04-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 22 3 24 1 0 0 0
OW 0 8 0 8 11 0 0 0
VODI 0 11 0 4 16 0 0 0
ODI 0 6 2 6 15 9 2 0
CDI 0 6 0 18 86 85 35 1
VCDI 0 5 5 78 309 612 5427 25267
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 22 3 26 4 0 0 0
OW 0 9 0 7 13 0 0 0
VODI 0 11 0 4 19 0 0 0
ODI 0 5 2 7 29 18 5 0
CDI 0 6 0 22 80 122 42 1
VCDI 0 5 5 72 293 566 5417 25267

Date: 2021-04-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 11 1 29 3 0 0 0
OW 0 8 0 9 14 0 0 0
VODI 0 9 1 5 19 0 0 0
ODI 0 6 1 7 19 6 0 0
CDI 0 6 1 11 52 140 44 5
VCDI 0 8 2 106 312 571 7098 23578
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 13 1 30 4 0 0 0
OW 0 8 0 8 15 0 0 0
VODI 0 9 1 7 24 0 0 0
ODI 0 5 1 8 26 20 7 0
CDI 0 7 1 16 55 163 62 3
VCDI 0 6 2 98 295 534 7073 23580

Date: 2021-04-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 11 2 30 4 0 0 0
OW 0 9 1 8 12 0 0 0
VODI 0 11 0 6 26 0 0 0
ODI 0 8 2 6 53 12 0 0
CDI 0 7 2 21 75 118 35 10
VCDI 0 8 0 96 273 354 5493 25389
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 10 2 27 5 0 0 0
OW 0 8 1 9 12 0 0 0
VODI 0 12 0 4 25 0 0 0
ODI 0 4 2 9 21 20 5 0
CDI 0 9 1 8 58 105 77 11
VCDI 0 11 1 110 322 359 5446 25388

Date: 2021-04-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 20 3 21 0 0 0 0
OW 0 10 1 16 7 0 0 0
VODI 0 13 1 10 21 1 0 0
ODI 0 7 2 35 56 12 0 0
CDI 0 10 1 26 89 77 29 21
VCDI 0 8 1 156 250 442 4752 25984
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 16 3 19 1 0 0 0
OW 0 8 0 13 8 0 0 0
VODI 0 11 1 9 25 1 0 0
ODI 0 10 1 8 39 12 0 0
CDI 0 9 2 31 72 66 27 8
VCDI 0 14 2 184 278 453 4754 25997

Date: 2021-04-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 29 2 23 0 0 0 0
OW 0 18 0 14 6 0 0 0
VODI 0 36 4 24 27 0 0 0
ODI 0 66 10 63 45 24 0 0
CDI 0 37 5 62 112 109 17 0
VCDI 0 72 15 230 312 821 6668 23231
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 19 2 18 1 0 0 0
OW 0 14 0 18 4 0 0 0
VODI 0 19 0 19 30 0 0 0
ODI 0 52 7 25 53 17 0 0
CDI 0 38 4 45 74 93 19 0
VCDI 0 116 23 291 340 844 6666 23231


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