Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2021-03-25

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2021-03-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 2 13 8 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 6 9 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 6 11 2 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 2 15 7 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 21 10 0 2
VCDI 0 0 0 0 38 302 2020 29608
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-03-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 24 1 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 17 2 3 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 18 1 10 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 16 0 7 3 0 0 0
CDI 0 12 3 12 13 4 24 8
VCDI 0 8 5 85 276 445 5618 25467
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-03-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 38 4 1 0 0 0 0
OW 0 13 2 8 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 12 1 16 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 11 0 11 6 0 0 0
CDI 0 15 0 8 32 7 1 16
VCDI 0 52 10 74 264 409 4950 26121
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-03-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 33 5 1 0 0 0 0
OW 0 12 1 12 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 10 1 17 1 0 0 0
ODI 0 11 1 10 8 0 0 0
CDI 0 16 0 6 52 12 3 41
VCDI 0 58 8 74 344 283 3866 27196
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 33 6 6 0 0 0 0
OW 0 10 0 13 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 12 1 16 3 0 0 0
ODI 0 9 1 8 12 0 0 0
CDI 0 17 0 4 61 11 2 46
VCDI 0 59 8 73 329 284 3867 27191

Date: 2021-03-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 31 6 4 0 0 0 0
OW 0 6 1 16 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 10 0 16 4 0 0 0
ODI 0 7 1 9 13 0 0 0
CDI 0 12 0 10 34 22 0 14
VCDI 0 3 3 57 259 245 2837 28462
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 32 5 3 0 0 0 0
OW 0 7 2 18 3 0 0 0
VODI 0 9 0 16 5 0 0 0
ODI 0 8 1 8 14 0 0 0
CDI 0 10 0 10 37 22 0 10
VCDI 0 3 3 57 251 245 2837 28466

Date: 2021-03-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 36 4 11 0 0 0 0
OW 0 9 1 14 7 0 0 0
VODI 0 9 0 13 11 0 0 0
ODI 0 4 0 10 33 1 0 0
CDI 0 2 2 19 89 61 0 0
VCDI 0 0 1 20 185 239 2823 28478
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 30 1 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 11 3 11 2 0 0 0
VODI 0 11 1 18 8 0 0 0
ODI 0 5 0 10 12 0 0 0
CDI 0 3 2 13 32 21 0 0
VCDI 0 0 1 35 271 280 2823 28478

Date: 2021-03-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 28 3 20 0 0 0 0
OW 0 10 1 8 10 0 0 0
VODI 0 13 0 5 15 0 0 0
ODI 0 6 1 4 17 8 0 0
CDI 0 10 0 13 89 59 18 16
VCDI 0 10 1 65 283 440 4793 26136
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 31 2 2 0 0 0 0
OW 0 12 2 14 3 0 0 0
VODI 0 11 0 17 9 0 0 0
ODI 0 10 1 4 20 6 0 0
CDI 0 8 0 19 86 52 14 37
VCDI 0 5 1 59 296 449 4797 26115

Date: 2021-04-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 11 1 32 5 0 0 0
OW 0 8 0 5 14 0 0 0
VODI 0 9 1 6 14 0 0 0
ODI 0 4 2 7 18 10 4 0
CDI 0 7 0 16 80 110 39 4
VCDI 0 4 3 106 316 645 6571 24030
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 14 1 19 0 0 0 0
OW 0 8 1 15 2 0 0 0
VODI 0 9 2 13 15 0 0 0
ODI 0 5 0 7 52 7 1 0
CDI 0 6 1 14 105 157 34 7
VCDI 0 1 2 104 273 601 6579 24027


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