Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2021-03-18

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2021-03-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 29 0 3 0 0 0 0
OW 0 11 2 4 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 16 1 7 2 0 0 0
ODI 0 9 2 12 4 0 0 0
CDI 0 6 0 7 10 82 51 82
VCDI 0 9 3 47 171 651 8480 22381
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-03-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 9 0 9 5 0 0 0
OW 0 10 0 5 5 0 0 0
VODI 0 11 0 2 6 0 0 0
ODI 0 8 2 6 7 1 0 0
CDI 0 7 1 11 9 79 77 4
VCDI 0 9 2 44 139 707 10656 20251
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-03-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 15 13 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 8 10 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 7 9 5 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 4 11 6 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 3 13 15 29 7
VCDI 0 0 0 2 72 373 5269 26210
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-03-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 2 17 7 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 6 6 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 10 10 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 4 16 1 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 2 27 23 11 5
VCDI 0 0 0 0 61 316 4386 27172
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 2 17 7 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 8 6 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 10 12 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 3 17 1 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 1 29 22 12 2
VCDI 0 0 0 0 56 317 4385 27175

Date: 2021-03-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 24 1 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 14 2 5 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 10 1 13 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 6 3 14 1 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 2 21 11 3 5 17
VCDI 0 0 0 30 155 460 3337 27947
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 23 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 16 3 5 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 12 2 13 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 3 4 18 1 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 22 10 3 8 17
VCDI 0 0 0 25 156 460 3334 27947

Date: 2021-03-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 32 5 1 0 0 0 0
OW 0 9 0 12 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 15 0 12 3 0 0 0
ODI 0 12 1 3 7 0 0 0
CDI 0 17 0 10 31 16 1 45
VCDI 0 30 8 80 263 378 4917 26174
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 26 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 20 4 1 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 19 2 15 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 12 0 15 3 0 0 0
CDI 0 15 1 8 18 5 1 67
VCDI 0 23 7 79 283 389 4917 26152

Date: 2021-03-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 36 4 1 0 0 0 0
OW 0 14 1 10 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 15 2 15 1 0 0 0
ODI 0 9 0 9 8 0 0 0
CDI 0 15 1 7 31 4 6 15
VCDI 0 59 8 83 306 400 5906 25116
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 29 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 20 3 1 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 14 4 17 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 10 1 13 3 0 2 1
CDI 0 12 1 13 23 7 9 80
VCDI 0 63 7 81 320 397 5901 25050

Date: 2021-03-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 33 5 2 0 0 0 0
OW 0 7 2 14 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 10 1 15 7 0 0 0
ODI 0 10 0 5 14 0 0 0
CDI 0 14 2 4 39 25 0 67
VCDI 0 13 2 70 248 307 2851 28315
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 23 1 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 12 5 5 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 10 1 22 1 0 0 0
ODI 0 8 1 7 14 0 0 0
CDI 0 16 0 4 32 8 5 29
VCDI 0 18 4 72 261 324 2846 28353


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