Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2021-03-11

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2021-03-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 25 3 10 0 0 0 0
OW 0 7 0 8 1 0 0 0
VODI 0 10 1 7 6 0 0 0
ODI 0 12 0 5 8 3 0 0
CDI 0 10 1 4 40 59 20 5
VCDI 0 20 6 220 338 917 5201 25135
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-03-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 17 2 14 1 0 0 0
OW 0 5 1 4 5 0 0 0
VODI 0 10 0 4 5 0 0 0
ODI 0 12 1 4 9 0 0 0
CDI 0 5 2 10 14 25 45 2
VCDI 0 8 1 205 344 596 6018 24713
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-03-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 37 1 2 0 0 0 0
OW 0 10 2 8 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 11 2 11 4 0 0 0
ODI 0 9 0 6 11 1 0 0
CDI 0 5 2 2 13 26 15 84
VCDI 0 16 4 76 188 515 5375 25646
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-03-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 31 0 6 0 0 0 0
OW 0 14 2 3 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 13 3 7 5 0 0 0
ODI 0 5 1 10 9 0 0 0
CDI 0 4 1 6 27 59 42 99
VCDI 0 8 2 44 126 581 10721 20253
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 28 0 6 0 0 0 0
OW 0 17 1 3 2 0 0 0
VODI 0 14 4 8 3 0 0 0
ODI 0 5 1 10 10 0 0 0
CDI 0 3 1 5 28 57 46 100
VCDI 0 8 2 44 124 583 10717 20252

Date: 2021-03-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 19 1 7 1 0 0 0
OW 0 10 0 6 2 0 0 0
VODI 0 16 0 6 6 0 0 0
ODI 0 13 2 5 6 0 0 0
CDI 0 7 0 8 6 100 83 9
VCDI 0 13 5 50 164 821 10603 20113
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 17 1 8 1 0 0 0
OW 0 12 0 5 3 0 0 0
VODI 0 20 0 6 5 0 0 0
ODI 0 12 2 4 7 0 0 0
CDI 0 8 1 12 6 95 89 13
VCDI 0 9 4 47 163 826 10597 20109

Date: 2021-03-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 5 0 15 9 0 0 0
OW 0 4 1 6 7 0 0 0
VODI 0 1 2 12 11 3 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 11 9 3 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 19 32 39 3 13
VCDI 0 0 0 17 67 317 9196 22280
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 2 0 9 7 0 0 0
OW 0 4 1 7 7 0 0 0
VODI 0 4 0 8 6 2 0 0
ODI 0 0 2 11 9 3 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 12 10 25 32 14
VCDI 0 0 0 33 96 332 9167 22279

Date: 2021-03-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 24 4 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 5 7 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 11 11 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 4 14 4 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 3 23 51 8 3
VCDI 0 0 0 0 69 442 4989 26410
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 14 2 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 12 6 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 9 8 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 7 12 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 4 22 15 0 11
VCDI 0 0 0 1 78 482 4997 26402

Date: 2021-03-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 2 13 8 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 6 9 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 6 11 2 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 2 15 7 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 21 10 0 2
VCDI 0 0 0 0 38 302 2020 29608
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 1 6 8 0 0 0
OW 0 0 1 9 9 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 7 12 4 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 4 10 10 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 1 15 15 2 8
VCDI 0 0 0 0 48 292 2018 29602


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