Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2021-02-25

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2021-02-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70707 13771 179 542 288 51 0 0
OW 62 430 46 329 185 23 0 0
VODI 0 292 38 268 406 55 0 0
ODI 0 147 23 187 435 118 1 0
CDI 0 82 20 167 676 564 80 0
VCDI 0 115 15 159 856 3892 9046 4845
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-02-21:

Best estimate Forecast
...observations not yet available ...observations not yet available

Date: 2021-02-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70230 14217 155 755 292 33 0 0
OW 61 577 55 297 212 10 0 0
VODI 0 399 44 247 483 31 1 0
ODI 0 187 24 178 429 177 37 0
CDI 0 107 18 247 545 854 233 0
VCDI 0 146 18 227 879 3097 8194 5404
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-02-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70471 14268 144 533 115 24 0 0
OW 61 707 49 300 158 2 0 0
VODI 0 473 60 339 365 17 0 0
ODI 0 212 19 297 406 113 0 0
CDI 0 96 17 261 583 951 320 0
VCDI 0 148 16 257 971 3230 7862 5255
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70471 14321 147 521 97 23 0 0
OW 61 674 47 310 149 3 0 0
VODI 0 480 55 353 365 14 0 0
ODI 0 200 23 276 401 96 0 0
CDI 0 92 19 274 618 921 283 0
VCDI 0 137 14 253 968 3280 7899 5255

Date: 2021-02-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 69723 14584 143 606 133 5 0 0
OW 61 658 48 342 182 1 0 0
VODI 0 430 68 391 416 21 0 0
ODI 0 167 27 340 488 95 6 0
CDI 0 75 18 194 836 551 80 0
VCDI 0 153 13 227 911 3798 7376 5933
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 69723 14678 145 596 115 5 0 0
OW 61 592 51 347 173 1 0 0
VODI 0 413 60 399 408 14 0 0
ODI 0 152 31 338 505 84 5 0
CDI 0 90 16 173 828 560 77 2
VCDI 0 142 14 247 937 3807 7380 5931

Date: 2021-03-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68857 15111 159 637 190 35 0 0
OW 65 570 80 477 174 0 0 0
VODI 0 268 67 582 485 8 0 0
ODI 0 69 14 329 742 95 3 0
CDI 0 39 1 60 977 836 33 0
VCDI 0 31 5 99 650 3877 7766 5709
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68861 15046 179 710 219 33 0 0
OW 61 482 53 445 204 2 0 0
VODI 0 302 56 406 514 19 0 0
ODI 0 112 25 304 571 147 0 0
CDI 0 65 4 155 802 683 106 0
VCDI 0 81 9 164 908 3967 7696 5709

Date: 2021-03-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68789 15201 149 628 185 10 0 0
OW 62 443 87 539 216 9 0 0
VODI 0 139 41 582 488 23 0 0
ODI 0 55 7 210 695 86 0 0
CDI 0 30 4 106 1026 684 171 0
VCDI 0 20 5 161 855 3852 8641 4901
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68788 15074 147 635 191 8 0 0
OW 63 419 75 435 199 6 0 0
VODI 0 156 44 526 455 38 0 0
ODI 0 75 11 235 596 154 0 0
CDI 0 64 5 114 906 625 176 0
VCDI 0 100 11 281 1118 3833 8636 4901

Date: 2021-03-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 69244 14586 148 553 261 40 1 0
OW 62 524 86 504 189 20 6 0
VODI 0 165 47 593 424 35 10 0
ODI 0 49 8 244 636 92 13 0
CDI 0 33 8 123 962 777 64 0
VCDI 0 7 8 117 1295 4825 7513 4828
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 69244 14267 153 642 298 32 0 0
OW 62 453 48 380 247 34 2 0
VODI 0 271 41 353 457 75 6 0
ODI 0 138 17 194 429 188 9 0
CDI 0 113 18 160 733 908 77 0
VCDI 0 122 28 405 1603 4552 7513 4828


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