Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2021-02-18

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2021-02-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70598 13807 145 612 399 50 3 0
OW 61 549 74 288 220 67 11 0
VODI 0 167 42 385 335 135 14 0
ODI 0 58 10 201 406 162 15 0
CDI 0 8 17 110 511 397 69 0
VCDI 0 0 0 79 631 2373 9961 6130
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-02-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70313 13952 140 608 307 43 0 0
OW 61 383 50 359 228 40 12 0
VODI 0 241 41 378 437 96 21 0
ODI 0 74 18 185 385 216 37 0
CDI 0 11 20 145 565 571 160 0
VCDI 0 0 0 44 714 2397 9512 6336
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-02-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70299 14183 170 660 247 59 6 0
OW 62 309 46 396 191 25 4 0
VODI 0 149 39 347 431 38 9 0
ODI 0 43 27 186 582 115 20 0
CDI 0 11 7 126 818 581 60 0
VCDI 0 2 4 53 663 3044 9456 5632
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-02-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70631 13977 143 600 208 46 0 0
OW 64 393 50 376 152 20 0 0
VODI 0 254 45 329 383 42 0 0
ODI 0 113 25 223 449 72 2 0
CDI 0 71 17 177 749 553 44 0
VCDI 0 72 13 172 935 3524 8521 5655
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70633 13966 148 601 210 46 0 0
OW 62 408 47 376 135 22 0 0
VODI 0 251 44 318 396 35 0 0
ODI 0 121 23 230 442 87 2 0
CDI 0 67 19 187 722 496 41 0
VCDI 0 67 12 165 971 3571 8524 5655

Date: 2021-02-20:

Best estimate Forecast
...observations not yet available ...observations not yet available

Date: 2021-02-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70199 14235 161 650 368 19 2 0
OW 61 569 44 274 256 7 3 0
VODI 0 371 36 245 478 17 5 0
ODI 0 151 28 162 489 146 36 0
CDI 0 92 17 196 767 661 104 0
VCDI 0 130 21 249 973 3412 9110 4356
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70199 14218 157 674 335 23 5 0
OW 61 533 47 263 280 8 4 0
VODI 0 359 31 252 443 34 13 0
ODI 0 177 35 166 501 99 17 0
CDI 0 125 12 172 707 571 178 0
VCDI 0 136 25 249 1065 3527 9043 4356

Date: 2021-02-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70393 14356 149 594 170 25 0 0
OW 61 665 44 283 179 5 0 0
VODI 0 426 61 289 380 20 0 0
ODI 0 202 28 268 411 128 9 0
CDI 0 97 13 313 533 926 264 0
VCDI 0 134 21 223 945 3276 7753 5456
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70392 14282 144 589 196 36 0 0
OW 62 763 49 278 170 12 0 0
VODI 0 421 59 371 386 39 0 0
ODI 0 193 22 221 461 148 21 0
CDI 0 103 24 273 590 899 210 0
VCDI 0 118 18 238 815 3246 7795 5456

Date: 2021-02-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 71027 13702 129 394 62 14 0 0
OW 61 680 56 406 92 0 0 0
VODI 0 517 46 409 350 7 0 0
ODI 0 189 34 284 460 92 1 0
CDI 0 84 9 210 821 666 109 1
VCDI 0 184 16 236 1007 3352 7521 5872
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 71026 13723 132 526 100 15 0 0
OW 62 748 57 399 151 10 0 0
VODI 0 425 46 385 469 45 0 0
ODI 0 176 20 220 433 206 4 0
CDI 0 106 14 170 675 661 127 1
VCDI 0 178 21 239 964 3194 7500 5872


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