Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2021-02-18

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2021-02-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 28 2 20 17 0 0 0
OW 0 7 2 6 51 0 0 0
VODI 0 4 0 15 47 10 0 0
ODI 0 0 2 17 33 9 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 8 18 20 12 31
VCDI 0 0 0 2 27 466 7707 23521
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-02-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 20 1 22 9 0 0 0
OW 0 7 1 6 27 2 0 0
VODI 0 1 2 11 53 15 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 14 43 11 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 10 25 16 2 1
VCDI 0 0 0 1 24 113 4142 27503
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-02-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 16 3 23 11 0 0 0
OW 0 2 0 9 22 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 10 34 8 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 6 45 25 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 46 35 0 1
VCDI 0 0 0 0 21 310 5322 26133
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-02-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 6 4 22 3 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 14 9 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 5 35 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 35 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 62 16 11 3
VCDI 0 0 0 0 53 418 5476 25910
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 6 4 21 3 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 14 8 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 5 35 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 1 35 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 60 12 9 3
VCDI 0 0 0 0 56 422 5478 25910

Date: 2021-02-20:

Best estimate Forecast
...observations not yet available ...observations not yet available

Date: 2021-02-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 11 21 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 19 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 32 7 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 28 10 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 46 22 15 71
VCDI 0 0 0 0 45 201 3553 28001
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 10 16 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 1 14 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 27 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 28 8 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 32 22 19 29
VCDI 0 0 0 0 74 210 3549 28043

Date: 2021-02-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 34 1 3 0 0 0 0
OW 0 16 1 14 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 17 3 24 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 14 1 22 14 0 0 0
CDI 0 12 0 18 38 2 4 14
VCDI 0 9 1 62 162 337 4178 27081
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 31 0 1 0 0 0 0
OW 0 15 1 5 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 19 4 18 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 14 1 25 3 0 0 0
CDI 0 11 0 27 34 2 2 6
VCDI 0 12 1 67 177 337 4180 27089

Date: 2021-02-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 34 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 17 1 3 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 26 1 13 3 0 0 0
ODI 0 17 5 13 11 0 0 0
CDI 0 18 1 24 35 27 9 40
VCDI 0 67 7 73 240 336 5765 25296
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 31 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 24 1 2 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 32 1 11 1 0 0 0
ODI 0 23 4 15 7 0 0 0
CDI 0 20 2 23 32 7 0 4
VCDI 0 49 7 75 249 356 5774 25332


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