Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2021-02-11

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2021-02-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 179 11 16 0 0 0 0
OW 0 42 7 8 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 34 2 7 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 23 0 4 0 1 0 0
CDI 0 21 1 8 40 41 51 6
VCDI 0 91 11 73 190 1591 11817 17807
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-02-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 90 10 27 0 0 0 0
OW 0 35 4 38 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 27 2 37 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 17 1 12 0 1 0 0
CDI 0 16 1 14 36 38 32 0
VCDI 0 48 8 44 226 1514 10724 19080
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-02-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 56 1 33 0 0 0 0
OW 0 18 5 51 3 0 0 0
VODI 0 25 0 28 16 0 0 0
ODI 0 13 1 20 18 0 0 0
CDI 0 7 0 12 28 62 46 16
VCDI 0 6 2 18 190 1965 11131 18311
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-02-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 35 1 20 18 0 0 0
OW 0 6 2 11 50 3 0 0
VODI 0 4 0 15 42 9 0 0
ODI 0 0 2 10 33 10 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 5 18 27 48 0
VCDI 0 0 0 4 29 904 10837 19939
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 36 1 21 20 0 0 0
OW 0 5 2 7 54 0 0 0
VODI 0 3 0 15 39 7 0 0
ODI 0 1 2 13 29 10 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 5 19 26 49 1
VCDI 0 0 0 4 29 910 10836 19938

Date: 2021-02-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 25 2 20 9 0 0 0
OW 0 7 2 5 39 1 0 0
VODI 0 3 1 11 54 11 0 0
ODI 0 0 2 17 40 10 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 9 19 17 4 36
VCDI 0 0 0 0 27 206 6692 24813
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 25 1 20 11 0 0 0
OW 0 5 2 2 39 0 0 0
VODI 0 5 2 12 56 9 0 0
ODI 0 0 2 11 33 9 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 17 22 15 1 35
VCDI 0 0 0 0 27 212 6695 24814

Date: 2021-02-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 21 3 17 16 0 0 0
OW 0 1 2 10 20 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 14 41 13 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 8 58 21 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 2 29 31 1 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 19 239 4554 26962
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 18 2 16 17 0 0 0
OW 0 3 3 4 29 0 0 0
VODI 0 1 0 12 42 19 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 12 38 13 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 6 32 19 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 1 25 253 4555 26962

Date: 2021-02-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 12 2 24 7 0 0 0
OW 0 0 1 9 14 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 10 34 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 3 48 9 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 60 25 0 11
VCDI 0 0 0 0 40 445 5118 26210
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 11 1 18 6 0 0 0
OW 0 1 1 7 17 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 1 11 32 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 8 40 11 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 2 54 27 0 49
VCDI 0 0 0 0 54 441 5118 26172

Date: 2021-02-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 22 8 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 5 13 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 4 31 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 37 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 45 4 0 6
VCDI 0 0 0 0 53 355 4463 27036
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 23 12 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 6 24 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 1 42 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 1 39 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 48 10 0 8
VCDI 0 0 0 0 22 349 4463 27034


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