Description of algorithm
Full domain
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2021-02-11

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2021-02-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70673 14746 166 657 230 19 0 0
OW 61 508 70 397 230 34 2 0
VODI 0 220 45 443 409 75 11 0
ODI 0 74 15 238 444 120 23 0
CDI 0 26 9 168 804 512 125 6
VCDI 0 91 11 130 1023 6074 29880 58279
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-02-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70939 14274 124 582 184 19 0 0
OW 61 678 63 370 163 39 2 0
VODI 0 298 72 428 368 86 6 0
ODI 0 104 23 272 453 92 17 0
CDI 0 54 15 155 857 531 104 2
VCDI 0 60 13 130 1009 5656 27363 61382
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-02-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70799 14351 149 598 198 31 0 0
OW 61 584 86 427 144 39 1 0
VODI 0 222 49 502 366 51 10 0
ODI 0 76 9 214 568 72 11 0
CDI 0 37 12 94 829 339 74 60
VCDI 0 21 8 125 949 6664 24884 63334
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-02-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70753 13875 145 676 389 46 0 0
OW 61 538 71 328 286 45 8 0
VODI 0 198 52 388 388 97 13 0
ODI 0 46 14 261 389 161 14 0
CDI 0 13 7 163 564 411 102 13
VCDI 0 3 5 185 1051 5744 29062 60483
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70753 13854 152 690 398 42 1 0
OW 61 543 63 302 277 42 8 0
VODI 0 201 51 388 370 96 12 0
ODI 0 55 14 264 390 143 14 0
CDI 0 17 9 166 545 383 107 10
VCDI 0 3 5 191 1087 5798 29057 60486

Date: 2021-02-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70291 14041 146 693 313 21 0 0
OW 61 532 70 328 273 46 0 0
VODI 0 151 36 429 435 124 11 0
ODI 0 44 20 238 470 193 12 0
CDI 0 7 10 189 543 500 133 88
VCDI 0 12 8 130 930 4219 21918 69383
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70291 13999 144 700 327 28 0 0
OW 61 520 69 323 254 47 0 0
VODI 0 194 36 401 436 113 10 0
ODI 0 57 19 236 445 166 14 0
CDI 0 6 14 217 510 507 132 89
VCDI 0 11 8 130 992 4242 21918 69382

Date: 2021-02-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70312 14189 161 580 272 46 2 0
OW 61 325 56 418 181 28 7 0
VODI 0 102 47 494 475 59 14 0
ODI 0 14 23 240 734 142 20 0
CDI 0 0 0 92 796 962 81 0
VCDI 0 0 0 27 669 3871 20850 70698
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70311 13836 151 600 352 78 5 0
OW 62 444 50 333 218 41 17 0
VODI 0 228 37 395 463 108 24 0
ODI 0 105 24 228 477 187 48 0
CDI 0 17 24 215 622 636 119 9
VCDI 0 0 1 80 995 4058 20761 70689

Date: 2021-02-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70491 14122 163 608 207 49 0 0
OW 63 349 57 410 166 15 2 0
VODI 0 216 35 399 396 27 7 0
ODI 0 77 30 223 533 80 7 0
CDI 0 37 16 176 888 602 41 11
VCDI 0 29 6 108 962 4854 19906 70680
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70492 13660 152 605 312 80 8 0
OW 62 493 49 318 182 28 12 0
VODI 0 330 36 354 382 58 13 0
ODI 0 205 30 197 451 153 18 0
CDI 0 99 28 254 675 525 81 91
VCDI 0 43 12 196 1150 4783 19831 70600

Date: 2021-02-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70470 13904 156 666 321 51 0 0
OW 62 435 42 347 184 23 0 0
VODI 0 286 47 278 428 55 0 0
ODI 0 146 22 203 452 124 1 0
CDI 0 82 20 173 746 568 95 13
VCDI 0 115 15 159 1043 5046 18340 71930
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70470 13473 154 757 468 114 0 0
OW 62 522 36 213 256 60 0 0
VODI 0 371 39 253 384 124 5 0
ODI 0 234 22 166 393 209 25 0
CDI 0 202 32 193 618 507 195 35
VCDI 0 166 19 244 1055 4853 18211 71908


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