Description of algorithm
Full domain
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2021-02-04

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2021-01-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ		 OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ		 VCDI
m
o
d
e
l		 Ice free 72255 14587 139 476 126 6 0 0
OW 76 649 50 316 177 22 0 0
VODI 0 343 56 316 371 48 0 0
ODI 0 122 28 254 364 93 0 0
CDI 0 48 12 221 632 292 34 1
VCDI 0 45 8 144 1280 5425 19315 68717
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-01-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ		 OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ		 VCDI
m
o
d
e
l		 Ice free 71675 14662 132 494 198 14 0 0
OW 60 569 63 392 168 27 0 0
VODI 0 315 56 415 386 73 0 0
ODI 0 90 18 231 369 162 7 0
CDI 0 55 15 228 576 427 103 2
VCDI 0 21 2 122 995 4727 19719 69480
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-02-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ		 OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ		 VCDI
m
o
d
e
l		 Ice free 71078 14953 172 649 149 12 0 0
OW 60 361 51 425 278 17 1 0
VODI 0 199 27 393 495 45 4 0
ODI 0 85 14 239 510 174 10 0
CDI 0 56 11 176 585 669 59 11
VCDI 0 87 12 264 1068 5535 27477 60637
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-02-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ		 OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ		 VCDI
m
o
d
e
l		 Ice free 70609 14921 162 662 217 22 0 0
OW 61 491 57 423 219 27 5 0
VODI 0 262 46 408 409 79 12 0
ODI 0 99 21 239 416 123 21 0
CDI 0 51 17 188 715 482 133 12
VCDI 0 113 14 193 1009 5588 30306 58216
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ		 OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ		 VCDI
m
o
d
e
l		 Ice free 70609 14952 166 695 242 21 0 0
OW 61 451 52 402 203 32 5 0
VODI 0 259 43 386 397 74 14 0
ODI 0 99 27 239 444 118 21 0
CDI 0 51 13 196 708 464 132 8
VCDI 0 125 16 195 991 5612 30305 58220

Date: 2021-02-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ		 OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ		 VCDI
m
o
d
e
l		 Ice free 70625 14651 137 629 248 31 0 0
OW 61 582 66 409 179 28 2 0
VODI 0 232 59 481 361 91 12 0
ODI 0 81 14 250 446 107 23 0
CDI 0 26 11 176 852 555 100 2
VCDI 0 72 10 133 1086 6217 29009 58994
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ		 OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ		 VCDI
m
o
d
e
l		 Ice free 70625 14712 149 663 265 32 0 0
OW 61 519 61 373 166 38 3 0
VODI 0 220 51 459 362 77 17 0
ODI 0 81 11 261 446 116 22 0
CDI 0 35 13 173 822 534 113 0
VCDI 0 77 12 149 1111 6232 28991 58996

Date: 2021-02-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ		 OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ		 VCDI
m
o
d
e
l		 Ice free 70823 14490 143 598 139 17 0 0
OW 61 599 82 432 142 31 2 0
VODI 0 217 56 576 387 47 8 0
ODI 0 72 17 203 659 82 11 0
CDI 0 37 11 96 892 434 64 20
VCDI 0 27 5 120 886 5879 23356 65327
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ		 OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ		 VCDI
m
o
d
e
l		 Ice free 70823 14233 138 659 191 46 0 0
OW 61 637 67 339 148 46 10 0
VODI 0 306 56 446 347 57 15 0
ODI 0 123 23 257 512 72 21 0
CDI 0 90 12 133 754 366 80 30
VCDI 0 53 18 191 1153 5903 23315 65317

Date: 2021-02-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ		 OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ		 VCDI
m
o
d
e
l		 Ice free 70750 14090 154 695 290 46 0 0
OW 61 552 65 362 236 37 6 0
VODI 0 204 55 421 406 59 14 0
ODI 0 43 11 237 486 102 19 0
CDI 0 7 9 147 701 406 161 13
VCDI 0 0 1 114 915 6264 29504 59405
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ		 OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ		 VCDI
m
o
d
e
l		 Ice free 70750 13918 156 714 337 84 4 0
OW 61 570 44 303 255 46 11 0
VODI 0 270 53 381 408 86 23 0
ODI 0 85 20 215 476 107 34 0
CDI 0 43 15 159 564 353 143 29
VCDI 0 10 7 204 994 6238 29489 59389

Date: 2021-02-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ		 OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ		 VCDI
m
o
d
e
l		 Ice free 70598 13835 147 632 416 50 3 0
OW 61 556 76 294 271 67 11 0
VODI 0 171 42 400 382 145 14 0
ODI 0 58 12 231 439 171 15 0
CDI 0 23 19 144 540 430 120 64
VCDI 0 41 10 177 838 4498 25477 65570
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ		 OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ		 VCDI
m
o
d
e
l		 Ice free 70598 13734 146 631 471 122 9 0
OW 61 517 63 288 236 87 15 0
VODI 0 204 43 371 413 154 26 0
ODI 0 89 11 189 411 213 27 0
CDI 0 53 15 131 434 429 143 27
VCDI 0 87 28 268 921 4356 25420 65607


Generated by /metno/routine/sms/V2/xSIvalidation/xSIwebPage.sh Wed 30 Jun 2021 06:50:57 AM UTC on arcval

 
See Met Privacy