Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2021-01-28

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2021-01-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 291 3 14 0 0 0 0
OW 0 15 1 12 2 0 0 0
VODI 0 13 1 23 8 0 0 0
ODI 0 2 2 31 17 0 0 0
CDI 0 3 2 48 28 30 5 0
VCDI 0 2 3 34 131 1371 7107 22883
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-01-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 278 4 16 0 0 0 0
OW 0 15 3 13 1 0 0 0
VODI 0 11 1 17 9 0 0 0
ODI 0 4 0 11 21 1 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 25 51 34 6 6
VCDI 0 0 0 29 156 1121 6804 23445
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-01-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 265 4 19 4 0 0 0
OW 0 8 2 13 9 0 0 0
VODI 0 8 0 13 14 0 0 0
ODI 0 1 1 15 16 5 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 21 45 28 0 19
VCDI 0 0 0 23 91 703 5821 24934
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-01-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 251 2 18 0 0 0 0
OW 0 18 1 16 5 0 0 0
VODI 0 9 1 15 14 0 0 0
ODI 0 3 0 10 21 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 17 41 18 0 1
VCDI 0 0 0 7 146 981 5378 25109
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 253 1 18 0 0 0 0
OW 0 16 2 13 5 0 0 0
VODI 0 8 1 19 13 0 0 0
ODI 0 4 0 7 19 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 20 48 18 1 5
VCDI 0 0 0 6 142 981 5377 25105

Date: 2021-01-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 203 10 46 0 0 0 0
OW 0 23 3 6 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 22 1 16 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 12 2 19 4 1 0 0
CDI 0 7 1 20 32 23 0 0
VCDI 0 2 0 19 192 597 5619 25202
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 203 10 45 0 0 0 0
OW 0 23 3 5 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 22 1 18 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 11 2 19 3 0 0 0
CDI 0 9 1 22 34 23 0 0
VCDI 0 1 0 17 191 598 5619 25202

Date: 2021-02-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 257 6 12 0 0 0 0
OW 0 38 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 36 2 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 27 2 10 9 10 0 0
CDI 0 25 1 15 17 77 11 2
VCDI 0 15 2 68 218 1065 6953 23204
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 220 6 12 0 0 0 0
OW 0 41 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 45 0 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 33 2 0 0 5 0 0
CDI 0 29 2 12 14 66 9 0
VCDI 0 30 3 81 230 1081 6955 23206

Date: 2021-02-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 247 4 1 0 0 0 0
OW 0 39 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 42 0 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 39 0 0 3 14 0 0
CDI 0 35 0 4 36 80 62 11
VCDI 0 144 15 86 230 1694 11573 17723
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 194 4 1 0 0 0 0
OW 0 59 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 50 0 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 41 0 0 2 12 1 0
CDI 0 42 0 4 15 59 74 11
VCDI 0 160 15 86 252 1717 11560 17723

Date: 2021-02-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 179 11 16 0 0 0 0
OW 0 42 7 8 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 34 2 7 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 23 0 4 0 1 0 0
CDI 0 21 1 8 40 41 51 6
VCDI 0 91 11 73 190 1591 11817 17807
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 139 12 11 0 0 0 0
OW 0 54 6 11 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 40 1 8 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 31 1 5 4 0 0 0
CDI 0 35 1 8 29 9 3 0
VCDI 0 91 11 73 197 1624 11865 17813


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