Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2021-01-21

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2021-01-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 396 12 86 1 0 0 0
OW 0 91 11 186 26 0 0 0
VODI 0 151 16 226 107 0 0 0
ODI 0 159 10 172 216 15 0 0
CDI 0 17 1 64 287 296 21 4
VCDI 0 2 0 25 149 1697 6717 20921
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-01-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 344 1 1 7 7 0 0
OW 0 56 3 27 63 21 0 0
VODI 0 29 7 42 173 47 0 0
ODI 0 9 4 70 169 58 0 0
CDI 0 7 4 99 261 209 23 10
VCDI 0 7 3 92 293 2100 8574 19262
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-01-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 18 321 1 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 37 5 8 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 24 4 39 11 1 0 0
ODI 0 15 3 18 40 70 0 0
CDI 0 5 1 34 102 355 5 0
VCDI 0 0 0 122 332 2928 5227 22356
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-01-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 299 4 12 0 0 0 0
OW 0 18 1 13 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 20 2 23 4 0 0 0
ODI 0 14 1 28 15 3 0 0
CDI 0 14 3 49 29 50 12 0
VCDI 0 2 1 30 200 2248 6727 22260
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 302 4 13 0 0 0 0
OW 0 15 1 12 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 20 2 24 5 0 0 0
ODI 0 16 1 32 16 3 0 0
CDI 0 11 3 45 29 49 10 0
VCDI 0 3 1 29 198 2249 6729 22260

Date: 2021-01-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 281 4 17 1 0 0 0
OW 0 12 3 9 9 0 0 0
VODI 0 11 0 19 9 0 0 0
ODI 0 4 1 19 18 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 27 53 32 12 0
VCDI 0 0 0 35 106 928 5809 24663
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 280 4 18 2 0 0 0
OW 0 14 3 7 8 0 0 0
VODI 0 9 0 18 11 0 0 0
ODI 0 5 1 23 21 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 31 52 36 11 0
VCDI 0 0 0 29 102 924 5810 24663

Date: 2021-01-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 295 3 15 0 0 0 0
OW 0 13 5 13 5 0 0 0
VODI 0 4 1 19 11 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 19 18 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 19 64 22 0 48
VCDI 0 0 0 15 98 1094 6742 23559
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 276 3 12 0 0 0 0
OW 0 16 4 12 1 0 0 0
VODI 0 14 1 15 8 0 0 0
ODI 0 5 1 13 20 1 0 0
CDI 0 1 0 20 48 28 0 37
VCDI 0 0 0 28 119 1087 6742 23570

Date: 2021-01-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 248 2 18 6 0 0 0
OW 0 11 0 9 13 6 0 0
VODI 0 8 1 3 15 7 0 0
ODI 0 2 0 2 13 10 0 0
CDI 0 1 0 3 40 29 1 2
VCDI 0 0 0 0 87 539 5757 25249
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 235 1 14 3 0 0 0
OW 0 13 0 10 11 0 0 0
VODI 0 13 2 4 14 7 0 0
ODI 0 5 0 3 22 11 0 0
CDI 0 4 0 2 47 44 2 4
VCDI 0 0 0 2 77 529 5756 25247

Date: 2021-01-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 248 8 8 0 0 0 0
OW 0 29 2 9 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 21 2 16 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 13 2 12 4 0 0 0
CDI 0 4 2 18 31 11 0 1
VCDI 0 2 0 17 181 612 5094 25735
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 215 6 8 0 0 0 0
OW 0 32 3 1 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 27 1 13 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 21 2 10 4 1 0 0
CDI 0 13 2 18 26 24 2 4
VCDI 0 9 2 30 186 598 5092 25732


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