Description of algorithm
Full domain
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2021-01-14

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2021-01-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 76018 13424 132 554 149 39 0 0
OW 67 877 79 495 140 12 0 0
VODI 0 665 63 763 451 36 0 0
ODI 0 373 33 409 485 104 0 0
CDI 0 185 26 283 801 482 34 41
VCDI 0 77 16 259 1699 9576 25408 52793
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-01-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 76198 12884 130 569 304 88 0 0
OW 67 732 59 437 271 55 0 0
VODI 0 516 29 543 652 114 0 0
ODI 0 255 29 306 734 199 2 0
CDI 0 182 27 266 812 643 71 17
VCDI 0 180 37 482 2131 7561 24302 55164
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-01-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 75269 13811 187 1007 277 49 0 0
OW 67 427 66 603 287 16 0 0
VODI 0 263 40 770 689 55 0 0
ODI 0 113 12 392 959 154 0 0
CDI 0 80 22 262 875 859 81 19
VCDI 0 1 7 208 1313 6425 25050 56333
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-01-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 74203 14064 173 877 541 5 0 0
OW 70 493 80 640 370 24 0 0
VODI 0 431 44 706 693 48 0 0
ODI 0 177 19 381 901 214 0 0
CDI 0 65 15 198 769 858 27 7
VCDI 0 2 2 158 1151 6880 25316 56446
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 74203 14055 170 921 592 6 0 0
OW 70 479 80 590 346 29 0 0
VODI 0 459 46 683 666 48 0 0
ODI 0 162 20 396 885 240 0 0
CDI 0 70 13 200 784 869 29 5
VCDI 0 7 4 170 1152 6837 25314 56448

Date: 2021-01-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 73927 13966 157 849 371 11 0 0
OW 71 387 72 707 403 23 0 0
VODI 0 226 32 498 806 86 0 0
ODI 0 156 30 333 787 188 12 0
CDI 0 74 26 289 996 913 109 2
VCDI 0 0 2 106 1482 8851 27956 52144
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 73927 13989 170 1006 445 18 0 0
OW 71 368 59 544 381 32 0 0
VODI 0 215 31 530 816 97 0 0
ODI 0 150 30 299 770 180 19 0
CDI 0 86 27 254 946 954 104 3
VCDI 0 1 2 149 1487 8791 27954 52143

Date: 2021-01-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 74260 13832 108 450 273 14 0 0
OW 71 678 101 428 182 3 0 0
VODI 0 144 58 761 459 39 0 0
ODI 0 32 14 338 840 221 0 0
CDI 0 16 5 196 1276 1097 34 7
VCDI 0 0 0 95 1289 7936 26622 55169
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 74260 13544 124 601 500 31 0 0
OW 71 629 49 342 249 42 1 0
VODI 0 335 68 456 408 200 11 0
ODI 0 119 17 324 493 252 19 0
CDI 0 71 26 291 777 586 63 6
VCDI 0 4 2 254 1892 8199 26562 55170

Date: 2021-01-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 74530 13432 93 366 243 26 0 0
OW 72 855 63 300 151 42 0 0
VODI 0 287 73 605 358 77 0 0
ODI 0 54 25 344 424 123 6 0
CDI 0 18 12 256 667 603 116 1
VCDI 0 0 0 171 1769 8282 24801 57803
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 74530 13302 99 493 481 114 0 0
OW 72 736 54 263 209 117 11 0
VODI 0 355 51 476 248 158 42 0
ODI 0 132 29 310 341 224 66 0
CDI 0 104 20 275 618 668 116 9
VCDI 0 17 13 225 1715 7872 24688 57795

Date: 2021-01-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 73145 14344 119 450 256 38 0 0
OW 73 795 63 433 175 59 0 0
VODI 0 253 53 526 440 116 0 0
ODI 0 66 19 342 337 287 36 0
CDI 0 7 23 287 617 452 264 1
VCDI 0 2 4 167 1543 6225 23177 61854
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 73145 13816 113 566 466 180 0 0
OW 73 790 38 207 164 179 19 0
VODI 0 604 51 405 216 241 95 0
ODI 0 186 40 344 314 204 85 0
CDI 0 57 29 375 508 472 219 1
VCDI 0 14 10 308 1700 5901 23059 61854


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