Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2021-01-07

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2021-01-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4 459 18 109 114 78 0 0
OW 0 72 6 48 52 59 0 0
VODI 0 86 3 29 85 63 0 0
ODI 0 51 4 28 72 77 0 0
CDI 0 40 3 34 52 228 23 8
VCDI 0 46 8 118 351 1056 5818 22780
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-01-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 7 403 18 114 100 66 23 0
OW 0 94 5 44 36 49 34 0
VODI 0 109 2 41 53 39 45 0
ODI 0 78 5 20 105 53 42 0
CDI 0 83 8 47 94 192 67 3
VCDI 0 43 13 128 444 1436 5791 22148
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-01-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 25 695 11 84 32 0 0 0
OW 0 232 7 44 40 2 0 0
VODI 0 156 13 108 55 17 0 0
ODI 0 83 8 156 113 59 1 0
CDI 0 65 12 142 205 218 74 57
VCDI 0 59 13 215 781 1793 8532 17975
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-01-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13 689 14 87 0 0 0 0
OW 0 348 4 67 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 438 30 184 15 0 0 0
ODI 0 243 19 219 104 5 1 0
CDI 0 145 10 183 281 83 44 34
VCDI 0 109 13 153 862 2705 8162 16818
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13 710 15 65 0 0 0 0
OW 0 325 5 89 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 414 27 181 19 0 0 0
ODI 0 220 19 220 96 11 2 0
CDI 0 181 9 158 277 96 49 40
VCDI 0 122 15 180 870 2686 8156 16812

Date: 2021-01-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 17 433 18 145 38 0 0 0
OW 0 237 12 102 38 0 0 0
VODI 0 267 14 204 139 0 0 0
ODI 0 128 20 140 303 11 0 0
CDI 0 71 12 129 307 115 29 9
VCDI 0 52 4 78 451 2306 6529 19724
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 17 425 13 115 21 0 0 0
OW 0 234 18 117 53 0 0 0
VODI 0 249 16 227 127 0 0 0
ODI 0 137 17 125 273 21 0 0
CDI 0 104 14 126 338 83 28 9
VCDI 0 39 2 88 464 2328 6530 19724

Date: 2021-01-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 11 750 9 113 18 0 0 0
OW 0 110 27 183 40 0 0 0
VODI 0 46 7 299 261 0 0 0
ODI 0 27 1 114 715 15 0 0
CDI 0 22 2 21 411 283 33 35
VCDI 0 17 6 51 193 1862 7230 19170
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 11 355 4 72 14 0 0 0
OW 0 163 5 156 87 0 0 0
VODI 0 204 15 159 177 1 0 0
ODI 0 114 9 156 341 11 0 0
CDI 0 79 9 112 391 87 6 0
VCDI 0 57 10 126 628 2061 7257 19205

Date: 2021-01-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 573 8 80 3 0 0 0
OW 0 257 32 149 17 0 0 0
VODI 0 288 22 419 102 0 0 0
ODI 0 68 7 284 267 4 0 0
CDI 0 27 3 46 286 109 0 29
VCDI 0 0 0 16 260 1236 5030 22460
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 339 3 23 0 0 0 0
OW 0 199 12 130 29 0 0 0
VODI 0 317 15 238 21 0 0 0
ODI 0 245 25 249 48 0 0 0
CDI 0 66 12 256 214 12 7 3
VCDI 0 47 5 98 623 1337 5023 22486

Date: 2021-01-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 396 12 86 1 0 0 0
OW 0 91 11 186 26 0 0 0
VODI 0 151 16 226 107 0 0 0
ODI 0 159 10 172 216 15 0 0
CDI 0 17 1 64 287 296 21 4
VCDI 0 2 0 25 149 1697 6717 20921
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 297 3 18 1 0 0 0
OW 0 66 8 193 20 0 0 0
VODI 0 113 8 205 72 0 0 0
ODI 0 119 19 138 115 14 0 0
CDI 0 171 9 76 214 116 30 15
VCDI 0 50 3 129 364 1878 6708 20910


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