Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables

Validation of sea ice concentration - GODAE regions

Bulletin date: 2020-12-31

Model: ARC MFC - TOPAZ

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2021-01-04

Best estimate

Forecast

Arctic Deep Basin:

observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 708 5 4 0 0 0 0
OW 0 92 13 31 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 73 8 110 12 0 0 0
ODI 0 38 4 105 42 0 0 0
CDI 0 50 6 93 146 36 4 0
VCDI 0 84 9 171 610 1066 6796 26586
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 493 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 104 5 10 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 102 8 25 1 0 0 0
ODI 0 54 5 49 16 0 0 0
CDI 0 50 5 101 74 11 0 0
VCDI 0 242 22 329 719 1091 6800 26586

Queen Elisabeth Islands:

observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3133
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3133

Beaufort Sea:

observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 237 9745
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 237 9745

Chuckchi Sea:

observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 19 7 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 37 927 1968 2693
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 15 5 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 42 929 1968 2693

Siberian Sea:

observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 17
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 7229
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 16
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 7230

Laptev Sea:

observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 5
VCDI 0 0 0 0 1 98 791 4429
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 0 5 1 1
VCDI 0 0 0 0 1 95 790 4433

Kara Sea:

observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 320 17 110 52 15 0 0
OW 0 109 3 75 29 32 0 0
VODI 0 48 14 73 70 49 3 0
ODI 0 49 5 37 107 32 17 0
CDI 0 26 2 35 120 115 87 13
VCDI 0 37 8 75 249 793 3086 419
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 218 18 135 82 62 1 0
OW 0 82 4 65 48 52 15 0
VODI 0 93 2 51 52 36 33 0
ODI 0 61 6 16 96 32 38 0
CDI 0 69 6 27 65 111 112 18
VCDI 0 66 13 111 284 743 2994 414

Barents Sea:

observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 6881 3013 20 48 0 0 0 0
OW 0 149 12 144 23 2 0 0
VODI 0 57 8 149 50 19 0 0
ODI 0 23 1 57 50 44 0 0
CDI 0 14 4 31 81 63 0 0
VCDI 0 1 2 26 100 157 102 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 6877 2131 8 37 10 3 0 0
OW 4 474 7 43 24 9 0 0
VODI 0 431 10 96 45 16 0 0
ODI 0 139 9 72 35 39 0 0
CDI 0 55 6 85 37 44 0 0
VCDI 0 27 7 122 153 174 102 0

Greenland Basin:

observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 5796 2408 7 19 2 0 0 0
OW 0 111 16 65 8 0 0 0
VODI 0 26 19 107 42 0 0 0
ODI 0 3 1 56 110 5 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 20 211 314 12 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 41 696 1537 64
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 5796 2430 10 37 5 0 0 0
OW 0 88 20 67 19 0 0 0
VODI 0 28 10 101 57 4 0 0
ODI 0 2 3 45 114 12 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 17 177 244 7 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 42 755 1542 64

Southeast Greenland:

observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 8498 3063 29 133 104 23 0 0
OW 0 80 16 72 48 5 0 0
VODI 0 18 11 100 79 13 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 31 102 41 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 5 82 256 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 1 178 0 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 8498 3024 30 159 163 31 0 0
OW 0 101 13 66 48 19 0 0
VODI 0 32 6 67 62 51 0 0
ODI 0 4 7 28 58 89 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 21 58 147 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 27 179 0 0

Baffin Bay:

observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 503 18 25 0 0 0 0
OW 0 25 10 42 7 0 0 0
VODI 0 10 6 51 24 1 0 0
ODI 0 2 4 34 28 5 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 24 65 27 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 14 168 557 2515 1638
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 434 14 19 3 0 0 0
OW 0 66 4 19 9 0 0 0
VODI 0 27 10 37 15 5 0 0
ODI 0 11 6 37 14 9 0 0
CDI 0 2 3 38 37 14 0 0
VCDI 0 0 1 40 214 562 2515 1638

Hudson Bay:

observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5
VCDI 0 0 0 0 6 788 4152 3636
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 14
VCDI 0 0 0 0 6 787 4151 3627

Labrador Sea:

observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13536 3895 60 167 12 0 0 0
OW 0 34 10 146 36 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 2 126 98 1 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 25 118 9 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 184 71 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 298 1242 139 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13536 3839 49 135 26 0 0 0
OW 0 75 19 141 32 0 0 0
VODI 0 15 4 119 73 3 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 57 64 16 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 12 121 45 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 430 1259 139 0


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