Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2020-12-31

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2020-12-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 889 35 180 134 9 0 0
OW 0 28 6 79 71 22 0 0
VODI 0 21 1 35 155 35 0 0
ODI 0 11 3 19 86 44 0 0
CDI 0 8 1 17 225 109 16 1
VCDI 0 0 0 4 160 1581 6654 21443
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-12-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 739 44 124 156 38 0 0
OW 0 36 5 83 70 25 0 0
VODI 0 38 1 69 79 57 0 0
ODI 0 22 1 14 80 74 0 0
CDI 0 18 0 12 128 100 25 3
VCDI 0 6 2 11 177 1053 6547 22245
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-12-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 621 25 161 96 1 0 0
OW 0 34 17 78 74 6 0 0
VODI 0 23 1 77 137 13 0 0
ODI 0 10 1 48 133 34 0 0
CDI 0 7 1 19 170 146 26 2
VCDI 0 0 0 2 116 999 5053 23951
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-12-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4 476 15 133 122 56 0 0
OW 0 56 8 50 65 45 0 0
VODI 0 42 5 47 70 69 0 0
ODI 0 22 3 44 69 76 5 0
CDI 0 12 1 42 88 177 29 0
VCDI 0 0 0 74 281 1305 5552 23039
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4 488 16 133 125 63 0 0
OW 0 49 6 50 67 45 0 0
VODI 0 40 6 51 65 63 2 0
ODI 0 21 3 44 65 63 6 0
CDI 0 10 1 38 92 173 42 0
VCDI 0 0 0 74 281 1321 5536 23039

Date: 2021-01-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4 437 22 109 102 79 11 0
OW 0 94 6 44 35 49 25 0
VODI 0 97 4 45 55 44 32 0
ODI 0 64 5 25 92 67 18 0
CDI 0 69 6 39 111 210 39 14
VCDI 0 38 8 115 413 1586 5839 22030
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4 426 22 108 101 70 10 0
OW 0 120 5 45 35 56 22 0
VODI 0 90 4 43 55 43 26 0
ODI 0 58 6 31 88 62 24 0
CDI 0 64 6 37 112 194 49 10
VCDI 0 41 8 113 417 1610 5833 22034

Date: 2021-01-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13 571 17 110 52 15 0 0
OW 0 137 3 75 29 34 0 0
VODI 0 59 15 92 72 68 3 0
ODI 0 53 6 76 119 71 17 0
CDI 0 31 3 71 182 183 91 35
VCDI 0 38 8 93 452 1461 6130 21597
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13 441 18 135 82 65 1 0
OW 0 112 4 65 48 61 15 0
VODI 0 114 2 51 53 51 33 0
ODI 0 76 6 23 100 68 38 0
CDI 0 77 8 82 87 159 113 35
VCDI 0 69 14 161 536 1428 6041 21597

Date: 2021-01-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 35 729 9 94 19 0 0 0
OW 0 287 15 48 18 0 0 0
VODI 0 270 13 137 42 5 0 0
ODI 0 197 24 215 139 41 7 0
CDI 0 174 17 188 274 135 147 16
VCDI 0 72 10 224 1044 2819 9541 15077
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 35 687 19 159 61 4 0 0
OW 0 165 11 109 39 11 0 0
VODI 0 298 10 172 130 24 0 0
ODI 0 192 10 79 165 52 2 0
CDI 0 136 5 45 189 101 14 0
VCDI 0 251 33 342 952 2808 9679 15093

Date: 2021-01-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13 571 13 84 10 0 0 0
OW 0 356 11 66 12 0 0 0
VODI 0 434 22 141 100 0 0 0
ODI 0 265 16 162 127 0 0 0
CDI 0 128 14 110 333 60 18 4
VCDI 0 57 9 112 464 2573 7279 18518
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13 749 25 153 25 0 0 0
OW 0 186 3 64 39 0 0 0
VODI 0 312 14 92 83 0 0 0
ODI 0 267 15 142 93 0 0 0
CDI 0 148 12 76 253 13 18 0
VCDI 0 149 16 148 553 2620 7279 18522


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